Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacf63705398d21580af999eeff9b7d2d12f15f164b49f9e053cb140932aede14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 9c | 7,166$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.87 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…6e9abacked Under | 0c | 6,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Under | 9c | 1,665$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 9c | 1,665$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 8c | 1,481$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 9c | 1,275$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 9c | 1,271$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.37 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 9c | 999.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 9c | 874.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Under | 8c | 844.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 781.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Under | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 10c | 706.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 9c | 575.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 9c | 558.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 8c | 500.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 9c | 332.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 10c | 318$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…9ba3backed Under | 10c | 235.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 8c | 227.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 9c | 189.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 9c | 159.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 10c | 150.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Under | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cf…a9debacked Under | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…5943backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5this page
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.