TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,321 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb57f…0c96backed No77c1,295$1,000 inWon+$294.857153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes21c1,287$276 inLost-$276.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked No79c1,084$852 inWon+$232.511243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a2…3e89backed Yes19c538.16$100 inLost-$10011219.6%22 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No77c279.46$214 inWon+$65.452,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No77c233.17$180 inWon+$53.342,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No80c232.55$186 inWon+$46.513,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed No78c200.17$156 inWon+$43.7616656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes19c199.71$38 inLost-$38.072,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7831…869cbacked Yes22c139.5$30 inLost-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes21c104.76$22 inLost-$2222824.6%56 W · 172 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e6…c62bbacked Yes21c100.79$21 inLost-$219027.8%25 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfb…2398backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$108042.5%34 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Yes23c100$23 inLost-$2314829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes17c94.59$16 inLost-$15.971,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Yes21c90.48$19 inLost-$1916250%81 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Yes24c83.75$20 inLost-$2018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd39…5f76backed No78c60.54$47 inWon+$13.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No61c57.95$35 inWon+$22.658049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No77c48.76$38 inWon+$11.181,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No74c23.42$17 inWon+$6.162,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No79c19.01$15 inWon+$3.992,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed No78c16.31$13 inWon+$3.6719257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.