TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$336,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$363,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c60,221$20,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,498.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under32c29,200$9,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,855.7218738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under32c19,222$6,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,149.212,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over68c17,019$11,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,508.962,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over60c15,152$9,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,019.212,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over67c12,643$8,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,499.192,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Over69c11,500$7,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9351136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under31c11,464$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,910.215950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under32c11,105$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,551.541,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over66c9,729$6,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,420.9620724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under23c9,323$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,193.823,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Over68c8,852$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,019.615669.6%39 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c8,677$5,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,939.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Under33c8,434$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,650.76929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37d9…9b1ebacked Over68c7,932$5,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,393.441533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c7,387$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,011.152,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over68c7,353$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under31c7,281$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,024.242,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over69c7,251$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c6,628$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,440.763,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over60c6,596$3,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,986.784,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under32c3,733$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.864,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over68c3,674$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.2122749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe879…750ebacked Over67c3,010$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.961275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over65c2,997$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.142,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under9c2,945$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.4214856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over72c2,771$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e88…040cbacked Over68c2,622$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Over68c2,206$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under54c2,042$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.712,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Under31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3807247.2%34 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under33c2,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9411243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfac3…5728backed Over68c1,999$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.324235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Over46c1,907$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88012958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over46c1,659$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.942,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb2e7…ec49backed Over68c1,618$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over73c1,556$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.6229558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3f…2d62backed Over70c1,552$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over75c1,540$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.7859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb013…6c47backed Over66c1,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under32c1,491$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.71,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…c19dbacked Over67c1,475$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.252259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over67c1,418$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95015650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c1d…b646backed Over66c1,330$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.59560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b4…8702backed Over68c1,320$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under33c1,243$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.3451315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under24c1,235$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.320731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over44c1,212$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.281,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over68c1,176$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Over74c1,009$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.436070%42 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over67c999.98$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.994772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under32c999.97$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9823729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under7c900.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.732,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4214…4245backed Over68c872.35$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.26858.8%40 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over76c771.27$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.331,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c751.49$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.993,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Over67c747$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.497648.7%37 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75f5…6070backed Over67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Over68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013445.5%61 W · 73 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa42…df0dbacked Over69c727.9$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+41%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Over46c667.24$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1518431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa90b…5ca7backed Over77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under32c624.17$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.241,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb795…020cbacked Over74c620$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.85538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f28…e6b9backed Over67c615.9$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.651540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a29…5badbacked Over68c598.88$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under32c585.35$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.563,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under33c580.01$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.853,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Over66c568.18$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3758367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under20c563$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.511,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Over67c543.91$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.423953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33536838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae4…714cbacked Over58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d93…2756backed Over56c498.32$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.062835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+31.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4499…943bbacked Over68c485.29$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3306238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe27…c9a5backed Over67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…e2dcbacked Over67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002025%5 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over74c447.12$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2917568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8221…2217backed Over68c441.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005879.3%46 W · 12 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over68c437.97$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.824946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over69c437.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf004…c9d6backed Over67c436.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.271668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over64c427.28$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.182,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over73c415.99$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.051,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0422…ae21backed Over54c399.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.926045%27 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ca3…b826backed Over75c397.89$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.422646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under32c394.73$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.731,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over67c391.61$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3810844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over40c354.84$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.612,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Over68c350$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23810672.6%77 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over66c348.48$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23016965.1%110 W · 59 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over68c340$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.228337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f9…f4c6backed Over68c333.51$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over27c330$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.119823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.