Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60f993181304b378a25c1f334069251498c4002f424659c421a7e5c2b2099a03

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $186,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $180,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,383 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	77c	32,726$25,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,587.18	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	32c	29,491$9,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,438.26	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	69c	19,746$13,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,134.64	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa6…1e5abacked Over	33c	14,817$4,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,888.65	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	29c	10,735$3,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,067.22	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe7…1ea9backed Over	0c	6,621$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-92.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	6c	5,594$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.34	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over	25c	3,561$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.28	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	73c	3,437$2,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.09	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	17c	3,434$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.03	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over	14c	3,286$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	14c	2,797$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.29	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	22c	2,443$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.45	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	30c	2,388$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.79	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	25c	1,953$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.92	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	68c	1,440$983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.88	387	45%174 W · 213 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over	28c	1,429$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	118	51.7%61 W · 57 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x541a…1c30backed Over	14c	1,341$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	14c	1,195$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.99	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over	2c	1,021$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.41	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over	14c	999.96$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.99	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	15c	915.49$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.5	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Over	14c	887.13$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.2	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x703e…8badbacked Over	14c	750$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	20cpaid	+145.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	14c	600.99$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.45	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over	32c	589$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.53	324	33.6%109 W · 215 L	-17.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under	75c	503.47$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.87	858	51.2%439 W · 419 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	27c	500$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.68	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	30c	418.39$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.91	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe197…2ce7backed Over	30c	334.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	25.6%22 W · 64 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	14c	305.57$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.78	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f72…e1bfbacked Under	75c	294.45$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.61	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7732…a330backed Over	14c	280$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4186…7513backed Over	14c	267.86$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebb…c29abacked Over	25c	246.34$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.59	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Over	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	251	15.5%39 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	189	36%68 W · 121 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x670a…d845backed Over	15c	213.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed Over	13c	199.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	109	34.9%38 W · 71 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	71c	178.75$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.07	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…68f9backed Over	14c	178.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+5.2wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+87.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over	11c	167.32$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.35	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	13c	165.43$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.98	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	221	47.5%105 W · 116 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	34c	150$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.14	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	32c	132$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5a…d5dabacked Over	12c	125.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+81%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe997…61b6backed Over	17c	125.62$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.32	133	24.8%33 W · 100 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8762…1461backed Over	26c	119.91$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccee…3eedbacked Over	24c	104.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Over	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	203	25.6%52 W · 151 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	68c	98.89$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.3	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed Over	12c	96.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	24cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Over	33c	90$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	12c	89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	36c	88.16$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.78	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfbc…aa33backed Over	14c	85.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-49%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over	14c	79.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b1…cc42backed Over	14c	76.86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	25cpaid	+91.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over	35c	69.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.23	198	38.4%76 W · 122 L	-18.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under	75c	66.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	284	44.4%126 W · 158 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed Under	75c	66.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	52	86.5%45 W · 7 L	+7.7wins	+0.15per pick	72cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf19c…a6debacked Under	76c	65.79$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	69cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0196…ccebbacked Over	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	48	27.1%13 W · 35 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Under	79c	62.28$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.28	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under	75c	56.8$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.2	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	27c	52.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.07	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4615…63f7backed Under	78c	51.28$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9be…663ebacked Over	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under	69c	15.74$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.81	475	46.1%219 W · 256 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)DR Congo won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)DR Congo won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)DR Congo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event