Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a53d78e699eff5bd04298812a42282ee26da70d78e35e8277252e879022c4ae

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $80,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,446 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	18c	5,883$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.15	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over	25c	5,438$1,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,359.5	465	46.7%217 W · 248 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	20c	4,323$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.4	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Over	25c	4,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa94…3601backed Over	16c	3,094$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.04	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Over	11c	2,632$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	74c	2,241$1,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.49	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	9c	2,010$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.8	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over	10c	1,975$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.3	368	38.6%142 W · 226 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	18c	1,781$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.74	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	16c	1,450$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.05	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over	27c	1,356$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Over	12c	1,153$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.37	104	52.9%55 W · 49 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over	10c	1,010$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.1	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over	10c	1,001$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	142	26.8%38 W · 104 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce8…e713backed Over	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78f9…c92dbacked Over	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	70	55.7%39 W · 31 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over	11c	745.98$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.06	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfae9…26ccbacked Over	26c	642.15$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.96	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Over	6c	600$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	11c	545.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	13c	519.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.2	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	20c	500$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.45	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f1…158dbacked Over	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	27cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	10c	461.83$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.13	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…5ae5backed Over	12c	394.17$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd50…0decbacked Over	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-3.1wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	10c	371.4$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.08	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e07…6a8ebacked Under	75c	332$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+2.6wins	+0.26per pick	64cpaid	+49%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	21c	276.12$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.48	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	11c	230$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Over	11c	223.93$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.63	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over	25c	222$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	10c	211.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.15	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa429…ef32backed Over	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	98	40.8%40 W · 58 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac5…2ccabacked Over	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over	11c	199.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	179	48%86 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d54…d454backed Over	12c	182.98$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6cf…4228backed Over	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	164	48.2%79 W · 85 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc338…f3d0backed Over	30c	180.69$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.81	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	75c	168$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.77	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e6…c62bbacked Over	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	90	27.8%25 W · 65 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…8174backed Over	12c	158.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Over	26c	155.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.63	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2efe…e43abacked Over	12c	133.34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…2a6abacked Over	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	51	17.6%9 W · 42 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Over	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	128	15.6%20 W · 108 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc513…b4f5backed Over	16c	120.45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	16c	120.4$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.18	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8d5a…5323backed Over	11c	109.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Over	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ec7…f874backed Over	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa96d…1818backed Over	20c	98.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.63	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed Over	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	16c	94.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5daa…d619backed Over	26c	92.31$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	188	29.3%55 W · 133 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1312…e932backed Over	24c	82.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over	16c	76.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	83	38.6%32 W · 51 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	79c	76.71$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.99	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Over	27c	74.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	240	46.3%111 W · 129 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a5f…e226backed Over	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cee…fb6abacked Under	75c	66.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-41%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over	27c	48.52$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	145	26.2%38 W · 107 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Over	23c	47.34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under	70c	16.25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.9	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5this page
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)DR Congo won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)DR Congo won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)DR Congo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event