TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$267,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over7c33,000$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.512825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over7c22,762$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.971,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over9c10,765$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.452,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over8c8,410$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over6c7,505$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over7c7,333$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.3159230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over7c7,058$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.062,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over6c5,515$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.9320724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over7c5,478$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.472,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over7c5,322$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.543,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8637…4016backed Over7c3,636$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over4c2,717$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.281,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea8…181bbacked Over12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.95119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over7c1,675$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.932,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Over2c1,621$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.146429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba9…bdfbbacked Over7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd475…9fb4backed Over7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+141%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over8c1,304$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8878835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over6c1,245$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.892,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over7c1,015$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.269124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89d2…7a0cbacked Over10c944.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.795722.8%13 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd9…3dadbacked Over8c930.36$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed Over7c785.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over7c783$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8177433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc966…e142backed Over7c757.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-72%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…4b75backed Over4c721.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295922%13 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…0d7abacked Over7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-68.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b18bbacked Over7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011644%51 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Over7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010330.1%31 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd582…4561backed Over7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over7c700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over2c686.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7884738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a7…c881backed Over8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508347%39 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over9c584.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over6c540.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.431,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over6c521.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.281,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over7c514.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3647935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Over11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510720.6%22 W · 85 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359622.9%22 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4d…8cfebacked Over5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243318.2%6 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over6c499.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over6c499.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309919.2%19 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over6c499.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over7c463.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.31,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over7c426.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.282,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63fe…0bfcbacked Over7c404$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Over8c389.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over8c374.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9252217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Over11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019118.8%36 W · 155 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7d…6e47backed Over7c353.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7274…2f59backed Over8c346.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Over10c330.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.059351.6%48 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5be5…a7f8backed Over4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.56040%24 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Over10c299.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305435.2%19 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6931…89cabacked Over7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209325.8%24 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011720.5%24 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b3…5c98backed Over7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204330.2%13 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…eea7backed Over7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203724.3%9 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfd2…e6d0backed Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked Over7c228.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623845.4%108 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84a1…4fb0backed Over7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over9c205$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.182,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over8c201.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9287837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f49…231dbacked Over8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16258%2 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fec…4259backed Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7509…1cd2backed Over6c199.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127418.9%14 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over7c187$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.951,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over17c187$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.641,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da1…82fbbacked Over7c179.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over7c168.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5332317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over9c153.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0963544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over7c146$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6851250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbb4…ec61backed Over7c145$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1513031.5%41 W · 89 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x376d…1496backed Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4160…3ad7backed Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214024.3%34 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over14c82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.481,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.