TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c44,136$23,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,847.224,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over40c22,185$8,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,764.512,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over56c17,101$9,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,643.52,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under60c14,815$8,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,925.8315950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Under61c12,055$7,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,713.41650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under60c12,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c8,555$5,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.142,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5da0backed Over40c8,237$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,267.463036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over40c6,500$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over40c6,264$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c6,003$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.988,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c5,774$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.492,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Over40c4,911$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.522227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under61c4,878$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.279551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c4,080$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.354,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over40c4,054$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.695754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under61c2,841$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.953,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over40c2,648$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.0617544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over41c2,401$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.934,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over36c2,377$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.9565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over39c2,296$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.312,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over58c2,152$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.342,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under59c2,084$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.9146550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked Under60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed Under61c1,632$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.417247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over31c1,308$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.192,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over56c1,300$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.993855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under60c1,239$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.421,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Over41c1,124$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.4214248.6%69 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfacb…ccc7backed Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadef…02ccbacked Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…9b10backed Over40c1,000$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3967537.3%28 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93d4…7345backed Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under59c999.97$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over25c999.83$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9719823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over51c985.03$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Under62c948.45$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.4111443.9%50 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over40c873.78$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.5118827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Under61c798.51$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.4217636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under61c784.95$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.1876551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc12e…7c8abacked Over39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005628.6%16 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fdf…3b6cbacked Over65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under59c768.13$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.933,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over40c752.5$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30114235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked Over41c749.9$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.461625%4 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3081…521cbacked Over40c720.15$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2734772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under61c699.14$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.581,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over50c668.26$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.312,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under62c611.12$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.232,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5122…ffd6backed Over40c610.5$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Over40c610$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2443164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2f…f472backed Over40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f4b…abcbbacked Over39c514.41$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.622147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006157.4%35 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over59c499.98$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9953436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over42c498.55$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.741,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over40c491.5$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.64940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc977…56f1backed Over40c488.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5910823.1%25 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over32c475$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15216725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over23c438.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2622122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over46c435.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Over48c417$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007826.9%21 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under62c416$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.282,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c415.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.833,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f67…8003backed Over41c407.15$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.931952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over39c386.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under72c383.2$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.132,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over39c381.36$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.791,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over50c380.3$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under60c372.13$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d40…bca6backed Over41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x884a…0ec5backed Over40c342.13$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.852729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2b…5d63backed Over41c333.1$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.571361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f1c…233abacked Over40c316.3$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58db…ae00backed Over40c312.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under59c260$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.482348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…7fb2backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010156.4%57 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007744.2%34 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8523…2a09backed Over39c252.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.351346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under60c250.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.11,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x627b…285bbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012844.5%57 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under61c245.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.281,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over41c245$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4526921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f19…77e3backed Over40c245$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984223.8%10 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024347.7%116 W · 127 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf1…fcbfbacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008438.1%32 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5e…a76dbacked Over40c242.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.191233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.