Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5726547a57349a12b1abdbe093815f07ffb5dcd74e76534be11872ebeaa87911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Under | 6c | 16,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Under | 5c | 15,261$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.03 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 5c | 11,585$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.26 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…09febacked Under | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 5c | 9,516$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.22 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under | 5c | 6,885$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.23 | 163 | 25.8%42 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…8089backed Under | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f0…42debacked Under | 6c | 3,994$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 5c | 2,636$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Under | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 6c | 1,913$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…ae5bbacked Under | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Under | 6c | 1,583$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…67d4backed Under | 6c | 1,317$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d08…eda0backed Under | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 5c | 998.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 5c | 936.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 5c | 758.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 6c | 641.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…2f59backed Under | 6c | 628.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce4…d6d6backed Under | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +263.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 5c | 469.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Under | 6c | 459.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…0596backed Under | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Under | 6c | 313.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Under | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ed31backed Under | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…1cd2backed Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…c142backed Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c92…c17fbacked Under | 6c | 175$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5this page
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.