Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548e7098e17deb6805c1d6bb8a5f26a9669648ac1d4c694fb38c448b5273e919

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,964 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	35c	6,991$2,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,478.59	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	66c	3,242$2,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,117.38	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under	35c	2,062$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.68	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over	64c	1,165$746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.5	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over	65c	1,000$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over	65c	1,000$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	47	72.3%34 W · 13 L	+12.7wins	+0.27per pick	45cpaid	+107.9%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	36c	868$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.9	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	65c	690.2$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.95	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under	34c	665.53$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.63	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under	35c	643.41$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.19	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	64c	600$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	63c	556.99$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.42	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2584…8018backed Over	66c	454.55$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.55	122	35.2%43 W · 79 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bd…1fe3backed Over	64c	390.63$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.63	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Over	66c	387.73$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.55	183	40.4%74 W · 109 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Over	65c	307.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.69	66	65.2%43 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa410…f61fbacked Over	67c	303.07$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.51	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	64c	296.49$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.92	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Over	65c	279.77$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.92	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	34c	246.58$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.85	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	66c	236.81$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.89	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed68…3555backed Over	64c	234.38$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.38	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x372a…f22abacked Over	66c	227.27$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.27	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over	67c	204.5$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.5	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	34c	190$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Under	35c	157.4$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.09	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…34d5backed Under	34c	152.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.02	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Over	63c	150$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.5	93	66.7%62 W · 31 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	33c	145.92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.15	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Over	65c	137.68$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.19	210	44.3%93 W · 117 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over	65c	137.68$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.19	365	43.3%158 W · 207 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	64c	113.21$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.94	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3c…c98cbacked Over	65c	107.69$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.69	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over	65c	101.54$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.54	332	45.5%151 W · 181 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c12…dd68backed Over	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	64c	98.43$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.43	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	-12.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06ab…6938backed Over	64c	89.33$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.16	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.20per pick	53cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbef3…bd57backed Over	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	54	68.5%37 W · 17 L	+6.6wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x230e…45b4backed Over	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	35c	73.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.65	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under	34c	73.55$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.01	413	44.1%182 W · 231 L	-16.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	35c	61.47$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.48	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb980…516abacked Under	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	322	54%174 W · 148 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed Over	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.3	160	56.3%90 W · 70 L	-14.6wins	-0.09per pick	65cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	65c	49.95$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.48	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under	35c	49.25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.17	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55da…74efbacked Over	67c	44.78$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.78	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	36c	41.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	33c	41.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.66	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under	34c	33.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	62c	30.71$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.69	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Under	34c	30.17$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	126	57.1%72 W · 54 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Over	64c	28.1$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	65	35.4%23 W · 42 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3017…1ac7backed Over	65c	24.48$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a4…d96cbacked Over	66c	22.2$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.55	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over	65c	15.85$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.51	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48e7…a00bbacked Over	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)DR Congo won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)DR Congo won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)DR Congo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event