TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…4535backed Over45c33,472$14,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,515.364456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c15,153$8,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,422.34,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under53c10,642$5,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,672.112,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over44c8,000$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,479.9817949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Under59c8,000$4,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,719.9822229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under56c6,722$3,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,764.122,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,75010734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Under56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.929253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Over45c3,050$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.6829232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c2,459$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.992,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf004…c9d6backed Over46c2,405$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.681668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad8e…776ebacked Under57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under56c1,576$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeff…e9abbacked Over45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.115747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under55c1,106$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.0877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over45c1,091$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.148530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c1,077$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.184,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…9b10backed Under56c1,023$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.127537.3%28 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Over44c1,023$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.739662.5%60 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Under57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over43c999.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57011243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Under55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.997648.7%37 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under56c999.97$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9846546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Under55c999.96$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9818738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over45c779.17$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.898652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under55c778.58$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.091,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over43c738.19$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.632,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under56c724.48$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.821,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8452…cc80backed Under56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002524%6 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over44c707.25$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.063,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39912040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over44c668.15$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.162,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c582.63$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.471,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Under56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over44c530.66$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.662,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over41c514.02$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.273545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6dc…925ebacked Under59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over44c500.01$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.011,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28516165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71d2…4be6backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28510259.8%61 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2808032.5%26 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27511642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over44c499.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9940343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over44c499.96$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9836838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over43c495.26$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.161,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over44c477.27$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.2712556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c467$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.683,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under55c464$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5532922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under55c454$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.72,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Under57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under57c438.37$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8748937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c431.33$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.753,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ae…affabacked Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.53650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over45c384.89$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4410562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Under56c383.93$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c9…e2dcbacked Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002025%5 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over43c353.49$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4935150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6829…456bbacked Under57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x341f…fcf8backed Under58c343.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.993839.5%15 W · 23 L-7.1wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under56c334.15$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1521937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under56c300$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1671,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16822846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ca…7229backed Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under62c299.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1864452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f18…c075backed Under57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under54c262.64$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.542,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c259.19$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.921,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Over45c256.53$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.099033.3%30 W · 60 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over41c242.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0763745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5b…ffbabacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.273145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe3…fba2backed Under62c225.09$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under53c217.67$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.364,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over42c216.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8546525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Under56c214.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015448.1%74 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Over45c210$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.512435.5%44 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3e…f1a4backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb50f…2c5dbacked Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011443%49 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11214829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd296…084dbacked Over40c199.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9612045%54 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Under57c192.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under56c192.86$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810153.5%54 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over44c186.22$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.423,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c9…cf56backed Under61c179.51$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1092828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017149.7%85 W · 86 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd00a…8126backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x952d…ab8abacked Under57c175.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.979844.9%44 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac5…2ccabacked Over38c174$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.983339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…a9d7backed Over43c173.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.153630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…daa8backed Under56c164.14$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9213157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c148.96$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.223,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b93…4783backed Over46c145.65$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over36c144.81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4720850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0da0…b331backed Under57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc5d…5316backed Over44c140$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Under56c137.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7715227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fd5…feb0backed Under56c133$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1514550.3%73 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under55c127.93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.671,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Under63c119.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e14…7c43backed Over45c117$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.354337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.