Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7cf1cff6bc27b004f2b8fef8f72113c7c10d24b14eeca2fe903a04e0def3d40

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: DR Congoof Portugal, DR Congo
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $783,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $786,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $783,764 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 565 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed DR Congo	67c	244,379$163,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,021.2	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Portugal	37c	126,589$46,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,667.34	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Portugal	29c	93,636$27,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,131.69	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Portugal	28c	76,400$21,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,472.48	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked DR Congo	72c	70,000$50,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,607.29	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Portugal	29c	40,713$11,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,891.59	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Portugal	29c	37,046$10,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,821.49	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked DR Congo	56c	18,817$10,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,197.2	148	43.2%64 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed DR Congo	71c	17,940$12,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,202.6	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Portugal	29c	13,850$4,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,015.47	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed DR Congo	71c	12,996$9,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,830.45	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Portugal	32c	10,993$3,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,470.86	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Portugal	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked DR Congo	57c	9,888$5,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,289.31	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked DR Congo	60c	9,786$5,834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,952.07	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked DR Congo	73c	9,633$7,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,599.78	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed DR Congo	70c	9,494$6,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,813.63	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed DR Congo	65c	9,147$5,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,162.42	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked DR Congo	71c	8,773$6,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,532.47	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed DR Congo	70c	8,604$6,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,592.05	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Portugal	29c	8,523$2,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,471.67	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b55…ddcabacked Portugal	42c	8,000$3,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,369.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Portugal	28c	7,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked DR Congo	71c	6,611$4,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,917.16	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Portugal	31c	6,522$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Portugal	42c	6,300$2,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,645.94	82	54.9%45 W · 37 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+12%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…9a67backed DR Congo	68c	6,031$4,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,906.01	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed DR Congo	71c	5,683$4,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,648.07	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked DR Congo	71c	5,592$3,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625.47	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked DR Congo	71c	5,500$3,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,614.99	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed Portugal	28c	5,357$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked DR Congo	71c	5,352$3,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,552.11	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed DR Congo	71c	5,033$3,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,442.89	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked DR Congo	71c	5,000$3,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,460	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed DR Congo	71c	5,000$3,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,469.99	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked DR Congo	71c	5,000$3,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,449.95	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Portugal	29c	4,933$1,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,430.59	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed DR Congo	71c	4,800$3,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,392	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed DR Congo	71c	4,500$3,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,315	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked DR Congo	70c	4,500$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.98	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed DR Congo	71c	4,416$3,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280.64	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed DR Congo	71c	4,096$2,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,198.87	232	55.2%128 W · 104 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd231…633cbacked Portugal	30c	4,073$1,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,221.9	51	66.7%34 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed DR Congo	71c	4,018$2,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,165.35	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Portugal	30c	3,681$1,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104.36	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked DR Congo	63c	3,284$2,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,206.4	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Portugal	32c	3,208$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,023.09	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Portugal	43c	3,203$1,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,387.52	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed DR Congo	71c	2,926$2,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848.58	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…0b15backed Portugal	44c	2,909$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked DR Congo	71c	2,808$1,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$823.68	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed DR Congo	72c	2,778$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.78	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked DR Congo	71c	2,760$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.39	258	57.4%148 W · 110 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Portugal	43c	2,693$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155.79	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Portugal	34c	2,592$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.69	91	24.2%22 W · 69 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked DR Congo	71c	2,496$1,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$723.73	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Portugal	38c	2,400$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.28	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed DR Congo	71c	2,400$1,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed DR Congo	71c	2,400$1,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed DR Congo	71c	2,400$1,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$695.99	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed DR Congo	71c	2,400$1,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.99	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb933…ab68backed Portugal	29c	2,390$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.1	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Portugal	29c	2,284$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.5	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb276…8720backed Portugal	25c	2,179$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x510a…995abacked Portugal	30c	2,050$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Portugal	21c	2,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	138	26.1%36 W · 102 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked DR Congo	72c	2,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked DR Congo	71c	1,972$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.88	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked DR Congo	77c	1,938$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.34	81	58%47 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed DR Congo	71c	1,931$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.96	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Portugal	31c	1,917$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.87	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked DR Congo	71c	1,800$1,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked DR Congo	56c	1,800$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792	198	50.5%100 W · 98 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed DR Congo	71c	1,800$1,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed DR Congo	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.39	110	25.5%28 W · 82 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Portugal	29c	1,724$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	83	41%34 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f0…987bbacked Portugal	29c	1,724$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f6…6d83backed Portugal	29c	1,724$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb7…5e2abacked Portugal	30c	1,667$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb661…5c8bbacked Portugal	4c	1,650$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.84	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed DR Congo	71c	1,513$1,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.75	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Portugal	29c	1,500$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed DR Congo	70c	1,482$1,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.26	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-7.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Portugal	6c	1,477$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.71	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked DR Congo	71c	1,430$1,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.64	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Portugal	42c	1,429$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	92	41.3%38 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed DR Congo	71c	1,408$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.45	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ad…85f7backed Portugal	29c	1,379$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Portugal	29c	1,379$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	95	15.8%15 W · 80 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c05…9e9fbacked Portugal	29c	1,234$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.96	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-4.8wins	-0.23per pick	28cpaid	-85.1%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed DR Congo	71c	1,200$852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked DR Congo	71c	1,200$852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed DR Congo	71c	1,200$852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Portugal	44c	1,199$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.44	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43b1…a277backed Portugal	43c	1,188$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.71	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Portugal	41c	1,185$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.91	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f8…28babacked Portugal	28c	1,185$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.75	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed DR Congo	71c	1,159$821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.9	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Portugal	30c	1,143$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa787…2cfabacked Portugal	44c	1,136$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)this page
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)DR Congo won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)DR Congo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event