TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,139 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under62c777.82$482 inWon+$295.5734249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x372a…f22abacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…6842backed Over38c252.32$96 inLost-$95.882025%5 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea4a…f33abacked Over38c189.13$72 inLost-$71.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under62c100$62 inWon+$382,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost-$5017218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9b…636cbacked Over38c65.79$25 inLost-$252733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0091…3223backed Over37c54.08$20 inLost-$202330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost-$2016935.5%60 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under46c52.59$24 inWon+$28.495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under51c51.02$26 inWon+$2551859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2a…9997backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost-$255431.5%17 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Under46c40$18 inWon+$21.620850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under63c25$16 inWon+$9.252,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.