TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,402,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,492,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,402,434 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 895 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c235,852$141,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,839.964,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over47c120,000$56,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,399.754456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over47c118,789$55,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,831.028440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over38c43,372$16,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,580.22,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over32c30,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over31c26,185$8,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,158.721,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over31c24,358$7,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,555.042,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over47c21,959$10,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,320.6442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c19,864$5,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,405.53,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under58c18,326$10,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,71377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Under68c16,417$11,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,253.4322846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over33c16,353$5,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,395.361,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over32c15,417$4,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,933.48648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8ca5…fd56backed Over32c15,216$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8692222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under68c14,073$9,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,503.2733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe875…28e5backed Under68c13,900$9,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-65.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c13,249$4,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,298.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1506…3ae5backed Under69c13,043$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,043.482825%7 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Under69c13,000$8,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0307538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under53c12,967$6,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,144.6325844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over23c11,387$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.3464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Over47c10,999$5,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,169.5313448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under54c10,849$5,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,985.992,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c44…0fb0backed Under69c10,003$6,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.012080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62b2…cec5backed Under58c9,819$5,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,124.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c9,257$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.4451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over48c9,250$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,44011963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under73c9,149$6,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.5910471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under68c9,114$6,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.4220844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Under55c9,105$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095.417443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over47c8,904$4,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,184.6527345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a7…9631backed Over32c8,200$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.9960%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over48c8,187$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,918.347943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under68c8,000$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c9…5eb1backed Under69c7,536$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.233265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over36c7,505$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.9378317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over42c7,310$3,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,093.7275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under53c7,234$3,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.966056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9912…5d4abacked Over32c7,126$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,247.963063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over47c6,870$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.8839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over32c6,222$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.0414045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Over47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.984344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Under68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.997740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under69c5,676$3,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.231,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over32c5,555$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under69c5,116$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.963,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Over39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over47c4,832$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.4844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over10c4,704$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…1f2ebacked Under53c4,700$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2092552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Over32c4,688$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under61c4,440$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.3416050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over38c4,404$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.8923427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under55c4,403$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.125942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under56c4,197$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.3333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18c1…7d6fbacked Under56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7601070%7 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick40cpaid+59.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa516…0392backed Under68c3,967$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.512839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over41c3,915$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.163544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14be…3296backed Over21c3,816$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.54829.2%14 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a51…b9cbbacked Under70c3,530$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under64c3,500$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2457163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over18c3,486$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.641,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over37c3,100$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.7918449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under68c3,023$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.711,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5004311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef34…2065backed Under67c2,988$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.611540%6 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over34c2,877$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.662,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over46c2,852$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32258642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over39c2,823$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.7828526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under59c2,639$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.9811149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under59c2,542$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.5230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3520262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under68c2,408$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.692,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over38c2,400$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.998748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over23c2,275$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.782,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Over45c2,200$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9909242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb2…abdfbacked Over46c2,179$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009348.4%45 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc424…61efbacked Under69c2,174$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.915048%24 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under53c2,019$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.8912241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over28c2,012$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.191,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa213…6907backed Under53c1,968$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.314341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over37c1,958$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.6195037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Under52c1,910$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under68c1,883$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.6711952.9%63 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.858749.4%43 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc036…2b99backed Under71c1,695$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.161353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a3…9b39backed Under60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.672360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over44c1,655$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.761,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under68c1,600$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.9844144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over31c1,583$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.472,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc2d…7108backed Over32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under53c1,528$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.8721333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.282846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Under69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.286660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Over35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9440…bbd4backed Under69c1,421$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab93…b17dbacked Over43c1,400$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026050%30 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.