Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d531b7f4710a8f00562455db5d409e269564a1415b5da352ba3f3daf33ee98e

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: DR Congoof Portugal, DR Congo
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,323,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,585,619

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,323,432 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc67a…f0b6backed Portugal	53c	929,863$492,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492,827.63	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-5.6wins	-0.27per pick	51cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed DR Congo	48c	714,605$340,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373,930.5	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Portugal	52c	520,412$269,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269,157.56	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6a…0f47backed Portugal	55c	500,000$275,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275,000	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed DR Congo	48c	416,958$202,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214,818.03	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91ce…16ecbacked Portugal	52c	271,947$141,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141,393.35	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed DR Congo	46c	267,334$123,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143,687.21	143	49.7%71 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2dd…4a23backed Portugal	54c	251,995$136,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136,077.34	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked DR Congo	49c	249,999$122,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127,951.25	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed DR Congo	47c	233,444$109,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123,725.26	165	46.1%76 W · 89 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Portugal	51c	226,921$115,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115,939.98	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked DR Congo	46c	200,000$92,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107,999.77	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa235…34bbbacked Portugal	53c	176,213$93,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93,393	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Portugal	51c	166,962$85,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85,050.53	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed DR Congo	47c	165,931$78,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87,775.9	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed DR Congo	45c	163,659$73,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90,012.37	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked DR Congo	45c	154,513$69,576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84,937.05	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Portugal	53c	150,000$79,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79,499.99	163	31.9%52 W · 111 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked DR Congo	47c	124,300$58,421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65,879	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked DR Congo	48c	113,732$54,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,140.64	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked DR Congo	48c	108,613$52,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,278.74	148	43.2%64 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Portugal	51c	105,976$53,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,888.81	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked DR Congo	47c	98,083$46,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,503.16	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed DR Congo	48c	93,548$44,903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,644.96	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bdd…c4cbbacked DR Congo	47c	90,000$42,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,700	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+3.5wins	+0.39per pick	50cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked DR Congo	49c	83,639$40,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,980.12	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed DR Congo	47c	77,852$36,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,645.19	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked DR Congo	47c	75,132$35,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,773.28	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed DR Congo	48c	75,000$36,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,999.77	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Portugal	52c	65,963$34,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,098.77	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed DR Congo	48c	57,488$27,594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,894.38	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Portugal	46c	53,351$24,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,456	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed DR Congo	47c	53,177$24,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,322.82	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed DR Congo	47c	52,999$24,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,219.73	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed DR Congo	48c	50,000$23,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,110	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Portugal	51c	47,355$24,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,224.97	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed DR Congo	45c	44,443$20,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,221.56	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Portugal	48c	42,433$20,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,549.85	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed DR Congo	49c	40,880$20,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,848.8	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed DR Congo	49c	40,408$19,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,608.16	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Portugal	53c	40,000$21,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,199.93	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Portugal	53c	37,736$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed DR Congo	45c	32,858$14,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,071.83	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+4.2wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed DR Congo	48c	31,376$15,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,316.72	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	+15.5wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed DR Congo	79c	30,898$24,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,608.46	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed DR Congo	48c	30,500$14,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,860	84	35.7%30 W · 54 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Portugal	49c	30,216$14,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,805.75	166	47%78 W · 88 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked DR Congo	47c	28,628$13,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,172.89	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed DR Congo	47c	28,484$13,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,096.73	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Portugal	53c	28,291$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Portugal	54c	27,778$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a7…8105backed DR Congo	46c	27,298$12,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,741.08	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed DR Congo	48c	27,254$13,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,172.29	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+7.8wins	+0.29per pick	45cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed DR Congo	47c	25,133$11,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,207.37	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2862…5586backed DR Congo	45c	25,000$11,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,749.97	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Portugal	54c	25,000$13,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,399.91	388	17.5%68 W · 320 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed DR Congo	30c	24,835$7,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,447.31	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed DR Congo	48c	24,000$11,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,432	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed DR Congo	47c	22,502$10,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,951.31	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Portugal	45c	21,415$9,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,733.44	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed DR Congo	47c	21,277$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,276.6	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked DR Congo	47c	21,277$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,276.6	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked DR Congo	47c	21,261$9,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,329.47	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed DR Congo	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,400	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed DR Congo	48c	20,000$9,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,349.93	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked DR Congo	48c	20,000$9,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,499.78	228	46.9%107 W · 121 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Portugal	31c	18,591$5,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,819.38	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Portugal	53c	18,421$9,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,736.27	79	62%49 W · 30 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Portugal	52c	18,185$9,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,457.03	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Portugal	55c	18,182$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Portugal	52c	18,000$9,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,360	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed DR Congo	46c	15,601$7,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,364.43	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Portugal	52c	15,385$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed DR Congo	48c	15,150$7,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,809.47	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed DR Congo	47c	15,056$7,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,026.76	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked DR Congo	46c	15,000$6,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,049.98	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed DR Congo	47c	14,006$6,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,423.18	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Portugal	52c	12,800$6,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,656	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked DR Congo	48c	12,500$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,500	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked DR Congo	48c	12,136$5,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,310.65	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a23…4454backed DR Congo	48c	12,083$5,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,283.33	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+4.2wins	+0.19per pick	40cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked DR Congo	46c	12,000$5,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,480	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Portugal	53c	11,296$6,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,043.28	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Portugal	54c	10,833$5,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,850	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed DR Congo	49c	10,781$5,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,498.19	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked DR Congo	45c	10,687$4,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,825.05	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed DR Congo	47c	10,638$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,638.3	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked DR Congo	48c	10,586$5,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,504.9	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Portugal	53c	10,500$5,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,565	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked DR Congo	48c	10,296$4,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,382	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Portugal	51c	10,225$5,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,214.72	132	59.1%78 W · 54 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked DR Congo	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,204.08	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Portugal	52c	10,129$5,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,221.12	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed DR Congo	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Portugal	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Portugal	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed DR Congo	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,200.41	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Portugal	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,099.93	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed DR Congo	47c	9,688$4,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,102.7	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5461…c1adbacked Portugal	52c	9,553$4,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,967.82	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)this page
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)DR Congo won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)DR Congo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event