TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$457,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$517,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Under22c86,637$19,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,060.0933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under12c48,939$6,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,094.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under22c34,262$7,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,537.643,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over78c18,958$14,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,170.812,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under11c18,746$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.121,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over79c18,639$14,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,967.311,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over78c16,000$12,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5205841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under22c14,683$3,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,230.2677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1178…9fc9backed Over78c13,850$10,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,047.05757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb597…d659backed Over78c13,614$10,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under0c13,555$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5519038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over78c11,178$8,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.352,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under5c11,088$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9420724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over79c9,554$7,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.6410355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under17c7,782$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.192,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under9c7,565$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.513,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under22c7,227$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.432,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under1c5,019$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60036235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Over79c4,000$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.32259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over80c3,850$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.598,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over79c3,797$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.478672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under21c3,690$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.151,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under12c3,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Under23c2,974$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.139435.1%33 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under8c2,949$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.961,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under21c2,702$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.521,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over78c2,639$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.498158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.130465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under6c2,413$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5533740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over79c2,321$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.514562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ef…098bbacked Over78c2,296$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.033652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over79c2,246$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.2595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over79c2,152$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.99845.9%45 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x496b…79a8backed Over78c1,830$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.672365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd028…e86abacked Over78c1,644$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.689429.8%28 W · 66 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over78c1,538$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.4610261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Over79c1,519$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.996732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c1,431$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7721314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Over79c1,392$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.417636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Under23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011443.9%50 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over78c1,281$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.81,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d64…3940backed Over79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.823467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f1f…b823backed Under10c1,150$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6370…e2f4backed Under9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under7c1,077$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4226647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under20c1,074$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.8936031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over78c1,065$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.163,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over78c1,030$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.614463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Over79c1,013$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.666543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Under18c1,011$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.418025%20 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under22c999.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9924626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under21c936$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5634851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over78c865.27$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.361,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over78c847.83$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.523,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Over79c847.1$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.896851.5%35 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under21c840$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Under10c839.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.068950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over79c827.24$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7213843.5%60 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under20c825.13$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6438745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf4…be24backed Over78c705.12$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.13580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under21c699.96$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9914433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9843…266fbacked Over79c647.68$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.011764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0328258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0317339.3%68 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c8…6e5cbacked Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.039556.8%54 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6137…7008backed Under16c611.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+89.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdafd…b52bbacked Over79c607.59$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.595667.9%38 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under21c596.81$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6482348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under22c575.48$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.61,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under21c569.96$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5936838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under7c527.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.352,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under18c521.61$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8919744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc71…5919backed Over78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8216042.5%68 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.338561.2%52 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb28…3694backed Over79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3317950.3%90 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Under22c505$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.112343.1%53 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under11c500.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.581,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x892b…6fb9backed Under23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d10…3bddbacked Over79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054022.5%9 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3518431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under22c491.67$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3652744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcae4…cc88backed Over79c472.19$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.164751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5147…1c33backed Over79c457.9$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.161566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under21c454.67$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.321,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c3…dbc7backed Under22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009439.4%37 W · 57 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under11c454.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec5…257ebacked Over79c450$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.53066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed Over79c431.26$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.561681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick72cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Under7c420.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1420850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a1b…530abacked Over78c410.24$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.253855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8867354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Over78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8821837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8c…a4edbacked Over78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.622466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Over78c361.45$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.528556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.