TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,825,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,820,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,825,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Over55c1,786,000$986,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986,397.722864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c510,317$186,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323,762.264,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb6…06dabacked Under46c459,999$209,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250,399.573759.5%22 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under43c337,570$144,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192,880.4174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987b…df43backed Under45c300,000$135,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165,0002360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under46c279,117$127,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,014.1633538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under45c259,065$115,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,349.5121343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over57c244,387$139,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,999.4114248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa235…34bbbacked Over55c181,818$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0002524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under38c173,504$65,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,268.5977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under45c150,000$67,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,499.9716331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Over54c150,000$81,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,999.9715249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c147,769$79,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,710.162,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Over73c134,007$98,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,194.964151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Under45c125,000$56,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,749.9911642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under46c116,224$52,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,244.6132031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under44c106,027$46,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,182.9714349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Under45c95,000$42,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,2501656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Over74c94,999$70,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,149.445366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Over60c80,000$47,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,746.2417034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under46c77,544$35,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,229.183,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under33c73,819$24,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,556.1864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under38c73,330$27,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,672.5942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over72c70,000$50,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,399.9117840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Under45c65,574$29,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,065.893154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa107…b7bdbacked Over74c61,678$45,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,624.831241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c55,052$29,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,123.768,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under51c54,035$27,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,268.736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over64c52,746$33,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,652.022,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c51,264$27,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,078.823,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Over54c49,362$26,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,655.392748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over54c40,000$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,599.9917949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over17c39,776$6,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,690.1942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under46c36,001$16,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,272.322,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf6…00a1backed Over74c31,062$22,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,858.622441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under40c30,321$12,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,049.821,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under34c28,205$9,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,685.7449441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Over78c27,725$21,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,568.365669.6%39 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Under44c24,973$10,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,984.8115552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over54c23,500$12,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,654.988158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2614…dbc4backed Under45c22,082$9,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,145.081861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+60.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under46c21,739$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,739.1313742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Over54c21,637$11,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,684.154148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over55c21,500$11,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,745.921029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under45c21,238$9,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,680.912255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under44c21,016$9,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,758.5515950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Under46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8007050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4419…19d7backed Over67c19,999$13,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,338.893271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c19,140$8,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,543.4836031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over59c18,979$11,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,151.5878317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over55c18,891$10,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,389.911643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over54c17,101$9,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,213.2959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under45c15,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,25038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over55c14,798$8,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1087448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under46c13,988$6,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,553.7717852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over57c13,368$7,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,675.5139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe988…8343backed Under44c13,000$5,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2802665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c12,992$5,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,136.841,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under13c12,917$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,247.0628229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Under45c12,612$5,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,936.486448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over76c12,462$9,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,470.810355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under45c12,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.9729646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over55c11,818$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under41c11,648$4,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,906.99233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over53c11,172$5,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,921.224950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over54c11,044$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0008353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under32c10,768$3,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,331.71,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Under44c10,755$4,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,022.771435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under28c10,140$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,300.7514829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under33c10,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,70012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.992850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Under46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.957653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9c7…da49backed Over69c9,995$6,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,883.243243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Over56c9,641$5,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,367.3417732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over54c9,333$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,039.8214045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Over55c9,310$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,120.342532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under45c9,000$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9501,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under45c9,000$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,979.9623949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under45c8,887$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,887.7421849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over56c8,812$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,934.8543139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over36c8,770$3,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,198.4574034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ca5…fd56backed Over55c8,770$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.282222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Over58c8,511$4,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9668835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Over57c8,376$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760.1113259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Over55c8,364$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6002556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c8,341$3,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,538.171,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under46c8,153$3,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,403.691,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under45c8,050$3,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,453.8844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over55c7,272$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.6934964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c7,171$3,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900.292,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ecc…3ed9backed Over54c7,041$3,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,802.182540%10 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7528…4e36backed Over55c6,666$3,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.36743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under26c6,416$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,770.944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under45c6,415$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.241,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over59c6,198$3,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,656.8122437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.9525038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Under46c5,870$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,169.577545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c5,690$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,163.531,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.