TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$714,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$936,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over66c100,000$66,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,999.9817034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under34c94,298$32,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,061.274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Over38c71,180$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,179.584535.6%16 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c42,904$23,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,039.494,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over36c21,202$7,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,569.2821029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under62c20,000$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,40037959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under53c14,169$7,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,449.592,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c13,765$8,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,075.423,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under35c10,725$3,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,734.3844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc36e…12d8backed Under64c9,067$5,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,802.912934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under50c8,911$4,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,421.119233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under64c8,000$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1201,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under63c7,553$4,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,784.522,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under53c7,002$3,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,707.7864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over36c6,997$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,445.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under51c6,596$3,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,351.0536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under63c6,347$3,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,972.391,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under63c6,195$3,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,927.6846550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9356…e52bbacked Over36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8404445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under64c6,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.9486452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over37c5,833$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,697.412,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under3c5,526$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under10c4,920$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.636437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under64c4,791$3,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.321046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under48c4,407$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.0125942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under64c3,883$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49311963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under53c3,691$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.2437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd3…5f3fbacked Over52c3,650$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.521533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under63c3,420$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.2924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde3c…6ea6backed Under2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601855.6%10 W · 8 L+7.3wins+0.41per pick15cpaid+300.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7d20…71f4backed Over67c2,962$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.584233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under42c2,868$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.4444130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under64c2,682$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.346640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over38c2,646$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.348353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over65c2,615$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.3811851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over70c2,454$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.172,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8762…cc57backed Over60c2,356$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.986541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over61c2,345$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.191,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Over36c2,222$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.2227236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under64c2,220$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.825857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over61c2,198$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.631,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under8c2,159$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2434731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over53c2,036$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.6336539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under65c2,008$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.864,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24040343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9811243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under1c1,985$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.857431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under58c1,967$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.942,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over36c1,944$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.447038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Over24c1,930$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.84647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under38c1,899$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.6416050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under63c1,808$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.522,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46dd…257ebacked Over62c1,774$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.193164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under64c1,748$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.9861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over24c1,730$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.615440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.1323230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over9c1,667$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.6746223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under35c1,590$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.129740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under38c1,569$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.078243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under11c1,526$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9322029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over36c1,500$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96513447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under63c1,477$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.413,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under63c1,433$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.423,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed Under62c1,420$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.41838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under50c1,410$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.3823637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Over36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8917733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb276…8720backed Over36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.891361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over63c1,290$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.694,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over38c1,149$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over36c1,120$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.9392038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under20c1,046$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6719342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed Over43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5702733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under2c999.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Over35c999.94$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.965841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under44c976.56$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.3938745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over36c972.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.222552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c885.34$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed Over60c875$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3507157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e7…0558backed Over35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.142828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over44c849.71$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.051,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ec…1481backed Over32c839.99$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.996618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under18c833$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9413552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under64c816.02$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.251,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda33…daccbacked Over62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3041338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over36c799$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.362,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under3c750$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe838…92fbbacked Over67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.274634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over52c730.77$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.7727655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under63c712.41$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.828931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over36c709.99$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.161,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0f…a4e7backed Under2c705.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.091729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-38.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under65c699.98$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.9376551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under45c697.78$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3225049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e7…9408backed Over37c697.47$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.412045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over28c687.04$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.848748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa855…3a4ebacked Over37c683.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.185532.7%18 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.