Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dac370ddda9f263cab2828c770c4c9daf1da8f3a8e8aa7d4fc0d68ec4465aae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $432,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Under | 78c | 25,266$19,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.02 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 22c | 25,231$5,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,466.59 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 20,761$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.43 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 16c | 18,405$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.79 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 16c | 13,104$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.65 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Over | 17c | 7,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 16c | 7,181$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.52 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 7c | 6,607$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.32 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 16c | 5,555$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.8 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…2e11backed Under | 80c | 5,499$4,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.86 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 18c | 4,876$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 79c | 4,430$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.38 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…e427backed Over | 16c | 3,599$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.78 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e4…07b1backed Over | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…075fbacked Over | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 16c | 2,705$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.93 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…35d6backed Under | 80c | 2,400$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Over | 15c | 2,300$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 16c | 2,265$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.36 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 19c | 2,214$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.8 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a7…9631backed Over | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cca…2841backed Over | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 10c | 1,674$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.01 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…a86ebacked Over | 5c | 1,588$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Under | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d54…1ccbbacked Under | 79c | 1,098$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…3b69backed Over | 11c | 999.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 18c | 972.64$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.81 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 22c | 773$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…c21fbacked Under | 80c | 730$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 29c | 710$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Under | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Over | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Over | 16c | 612.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 80c | 575.33$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 15c | 541.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…61efbacked Under | 80c | 537.5$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 73c | 528.8$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.85 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cc…9883backed Over | 25c | 527.72$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Under | 74c | 511.74$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 170 | 30%51 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Over | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…a330backed Over | 25c | 489.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 16c | 456$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…6e47backed Over | 16c | 445.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 15c | 440.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…ebd1backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 17c | 434.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 17c | 431.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Over | 15c | 412.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 23c | 409.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Over | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 15c | 367.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Over | 16c | 362.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 221 | 35.3%78 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 14c | 350.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 16c | 349.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 143 | 17.5%25 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 9c | 343.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…c750backed Over | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 15c | 300.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…a2febacked Over | 16c | 299.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 14c | 281.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 74c | 271.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…89c9backed Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…4c57backed Under | 80c | 259.21$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 15c | 232.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Over | 12c | 231$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…692ebacked Over | 25c | 222.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Over | 15c | 219.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 323 | 17.6%57 W · 266 L | -43.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…5d4abacked Over | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Under | 79c | 213.44$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 16c | 206.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…a08abacked Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ed31backed Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…a7f8backed Over | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…231dbacked Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf083…22b0backed Over | 19c | 199.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 77c | 199.94$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Over | 19c | 195.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 9c | 194.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…264dbacked Over | 21c | 191.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bd…fee2backed Over | 16c | 188.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…798bbacked Over | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Over | 23c | 183.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…5f8bbacked Over | 17c | 182.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…3dadbacked Over | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d64…0b24backed Over | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…43abbacked Over | 24c | 167.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5this page
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.