TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$386,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$432,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Under78c25,266$19,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,577.027238.9%28 W · 44 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over22c25,231$5,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,466.591,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over18c20,761$3,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,633.432,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over16c18,405$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.791,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over16c13,104$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.6559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over17c7,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2508617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over16c7,181$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.522,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over7c6,607$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3234924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over16c5,555$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6261…2e11backed Under80c5,499$4,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.861376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over18c4,876$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under79c4,430$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.3814246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc679…e427backed Over16c3,599$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.7890%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Over16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4f…075fbacked Over16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over16c2,705$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.932,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed Under80c2,400$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48010652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over15c2,300$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9910518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over16c2,265$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.3614612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c2,214$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.82,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a7…9631backed Over15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cca…2841backed Over16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c1,674$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1228…a86ebacked Over5c1,588$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.572524%6 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7919158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d54…1ccbbacked Under79c1,098$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.581040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over11c999.94$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.993713.5%5 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over18c972.64$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.811,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over22c773$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0634845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc8…c21fbacked Under80c730$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1462343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over29c710$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1516357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12528444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Over16c612.5$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9822914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under80c575.33$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0712559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over15c541.5$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7247744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc424…61efbacked Under80c537.5$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.55048%24 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under73c528.8$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8538745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99cc…9883backed Over25c527.72$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.932334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Under74c511.74$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.526358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Over24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010720.6%22 W · 85 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over24c499.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7732…a330backed Over25c489.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.53638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over16c456$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.962,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7d…6e47backed Over16c445.13$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.221127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over15c440.97$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.244,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8837…ebd1backed Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over17c434.4$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over17c431.55$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Over15c412.15$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.823831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over23c409.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9143230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Over26c385$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed Over15c367.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.14566.7%30 W · 15 L+13.1wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+83.4%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over16c362.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9322135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over14c350.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.911,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over16c349.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9214317.5%25 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over9c343.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3085550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe931…c750backed Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over15c300.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.038453.6%45 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0409…a2febacked Over16c299.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.862814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over14c281.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4643635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under74c271.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0633740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7769…89c9backed Under74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2710539%41 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+41.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6040…4c57backed Under80c259.21$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.842277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over15c232.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8625865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over12c231$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7278317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc086…692ebacked Over25c222.36$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.643562.9%22 W · 13 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over15c219.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4232317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9912…5d4abacked Over21c214.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Under79c213.44$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over16c206.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3352217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9cf…a08abacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3243826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.87828.2%22 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61de…ed31backed Over16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212132.2%39 W · 82 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be5…a7f8backed Over7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136040%24 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f49…231dbacked Over16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32258%2 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf083…22b0backed Over19c199.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386527.7%18 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under77c199.94$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9931553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6332…4576backed Over19c195.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2115048%72 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over9c194.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.541,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x019a…264dbacked Over21c191.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012035%42 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9bd…fee2backed Over16c188.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.171040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over23c183.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5663544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9732…5f8bbacked Over17c182.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316021.7%13 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd9…3dadbacked Over17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d64…0b24backed Over17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307816.7%13 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Over24c167.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019118.8%36 W · 155 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.