Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf45fd2cd4f700024217b91d74d928f1727d477b0430258ff9c09416d4eb28b34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 51c | 3,418$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.72 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…2e05backed Over | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 787.84$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.04 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 496.3$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…383abacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 47c | 349.49$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.23 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Under | 63c | 301.3$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Under | 66c | 274.42$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 249.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 240.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed Over | 52c | 210.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over | 50c | 200.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 191$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 28c | 177.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 126$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 103$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…798bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…cd94backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 44.6%127 W · 158 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…f49ebacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…f247backed Over | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Over | 49c | 61.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2281…2d33backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 49c | 52.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea46…1f28backed Over | 53c | 37.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…fe81backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…a74cbacked Over | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.