Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe12c616ffbe90c2899ee5ad5388152bd2d81b36183c2b704b4e7759f89ffc0b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DR Congoof Portugal, DR Congo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Portugal | 16c | 65,366$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,749.94 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Portugal | 14c | 15,710$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.23 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…71c0backed Portugal | 14c | 8,168$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…7a6fbacked Portugal | 22c | 6,923$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Portugal | 16c | 6,728$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…a2d6backed Portugal | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Portugal | 24c | 4,245$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…f5ecbacked Portugal | 13c | 4,124$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.09 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Portugal | 33c | 3,021$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…cc54backed Portugal | 3c | 3,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Portugal | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed DR Congo | 67c | 2,759$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.88 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dad…db96backed Portugal | 1c | 2,565$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked DR Congo | 79c | 2,518$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.67 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Portugal | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…3111backed Portugal | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…9b8bbacked Portugal | 14c | 1,451$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…593dbacked Portugal | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Portugal | 13c | 1,224$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.14 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x813b…e606backed Portugal | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Portugal | 23c | 1,020$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.64 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Portugal | 14c | 999.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Portugal | 3c | 989.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Portugal | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…09f1backed Portugal | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Portugal | 14c | 642.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Portugal | 10c | 588.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Portugal | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Portugal | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Portugal | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Portugal | 13c | 494$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…5c7dbacked DR Congo | 79c | 449.37$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…a4c6backed Portugal | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Portugal | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Portugal | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Portugal | 14c | 387.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Portugal | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Portugal | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 13%13 W · 87 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Portugal | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Portugal | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…3242backed Portugal | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…27bfbacked Portugal | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…013abacked Portugal | 10c | 322.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed DR Congo | 73c | 286$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da0…b331backed Portugal | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…0d32backed Portugal | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…252dbacked Portugal | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…798bbacked Portugal | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Portugal | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…f3c9backed Portugal | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…bcf2backed Portugal | 19c | 184.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -67%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…0eb3backed Portugal | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Portugal | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Portugal | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Portugal | 14c | 171.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…7e93backed Portugal | 18c | 167.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Portugal | 13c | 161$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Portugal | 13c | 160.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Portugal | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 35.7%50 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Portugal | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 41.5%88 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…e4ecbacked Portugal | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17c9…4bb7backed Portugal | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…b735backed Portugal | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Portugal | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd741…0079backed Portugal | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…9508backed Portugal | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…6a6ebacked Portugal | 14c | 139.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2c2ebacked Portugal | 14c | 136.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Portugal | 13c | 132.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af1…5a2dbacked Portugal | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fe…61b1backed Portugal | 14c | 118.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…507abacked Portugal | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed Portugal | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…1103backed Portugal | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Portugal | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…16b2backed Portugal | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…825dbacked Portugal | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Portugal | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 18.9%28 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923b…9e57backed Portugal | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Portugal | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d5…8863backed Portugal | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…8f38backed Portugal | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked DR Congo | 75c | 95.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 187 | 65.2%122 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Portugal | 15c | 85.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60a…4790backed Portugal | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…b157backed Portugal | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 30.8%37 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…b879backed Portugal | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Portugal | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Portugal | 25c | 55.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d73…ef97backed DR Congo | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)this page
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.