TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Portugal (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DR Congoof Portugal, DR Congo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,825 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Portugal16c65,366$10,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,749.942,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Portugal14c15,710$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.232,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3590…71c0backed Portugal14c8,168$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.291216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5fb…7a6fbacked Portugal22c6,923$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.141942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Portugal16c6,728$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed Portugal18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Portugal24c4,245$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Portugal13c4,124$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.094932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Portugal33c3,021$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d9…cc54backed Portugal3c3,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Portugal13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39019252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed DR Congo67c2,759$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.8825753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dad…db96backed Portugal1c2,565$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked DR Congo79c2,518$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.6720262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Portugal14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803917.9%7 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Portugal14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd703…9b8bbacked Portugal14c1,451$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Portugal14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Portugal13c1,224$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1410518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x813b…e606backed Portugal14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504124.4%10 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Portugal23c1,020$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.64277.4%2 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Portugal14c999.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13728337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Portugal3c989.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.682,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Portugal14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Portugal13c700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9114235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Portugal14c642.86$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9022436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Portugal10c588.35$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Portugal13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654926.5%13 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Portugal23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid+56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Portugal14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010720.6%22 W · 85 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Portugal13c494$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2965835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81c1…5c7dbacked DR Congo79c449.37$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.372259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bc…a4c6backed Portugal23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Portugal14c428.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Portugal24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010160.4%61 W · 40 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Portugal14c387.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.572,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb176…fcb2backed Portugal13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Portugal13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010013%13 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Portugal14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Portugal14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d1…3242backed Portugal14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504526.7%12 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4014…27bfbacked Portugal14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508444%37 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe709…013abacked Portugal10c322.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed DR Congo73c286$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.432,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da0…b331backed Portugal14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed Portugal14c249.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510934.9%38 W · 71 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe87e…252dbacked Portugal23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Portugal14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x029b…1f75backed Portugal14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204b…f3c9backed Portugal25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6fc…bcf2backed Portugal19c184.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.481711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-67%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8577…0eb3backed Portugal22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402119%4 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Portugal14c180$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.26423.4%15 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Portugal14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked Portugal14c171.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242924.1%7 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1803…7e93backed Portugal18c167.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-72.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Portugal13c161$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.931,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Portugal13c160.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.421,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Portugal14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014035.7%50 W · 90 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Portugal14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021241.5%88 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb835…e4ecbacked Portugal14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012749.6%63 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c9…4bb7backed Portugal14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaab…b735backed Portugal14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Portugal14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd741…0079backed Portugal14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c6…9508backed Portugal14c140$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa297…6a6ebacked Portugal14c139.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.542025%5 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54fa…2c2ebacked Portugal14c136.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.08137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-84.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Portugal13c132.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.413,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af1…5a2dbacked Portugal23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306631.8%21 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fe…61b1backed Portugal14c118.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Portugal13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512637.3%47 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd588…cec0backed Portugal13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-82.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33d5…1103backed Portugal22c109.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Portugal13c107.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50dc…16b2backed Portugal14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd475…825dbacked Portugal14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154314%6 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Portugal14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514818.9%28 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick19cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923b…9e57backed Portugal14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Portugal14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144226.2%11 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d5…8863backed Portugal14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142548%12 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e9d…8f38backed Portugal13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked DR Congo75c95.67$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0718765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Portugal15c85.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59825.5%25 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60a…4790backed Portugal13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fd7…b157backed Portugal25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012030.8%37 W · 83 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdd2…b879backed Portugal14c78.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-50.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Portugal23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158923.6%21 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Portugal25c55.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0340240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d73…ef97backed DR Congo78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.