TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd588…cec0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Boxing, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT8521.2%18 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.72
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$803.8
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.95
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.02
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,004.72
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$661.05
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.9
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.1
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$921.96
Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.32
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.04
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.43
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$194.24
Trove FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$397.59
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT5433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$689.51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$240.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+129.5%+$507.66
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$127.71
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+365.6%+$237.62
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61%+$129.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$34.03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$109.77
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$673.82
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.14
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$459.15
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$186.62
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$924.35
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$119.14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.4
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$851.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.52
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$610.45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$622.87
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.75
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+559.3%+$791.54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-82.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.44
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.29
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.23
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.91
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$57.96
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 19 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+52.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+400%+$200
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.6
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+244.8%+$120.7
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.4%+$709.43
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$154.93
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+38.5%+$535.52
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+70.5%+$62.56
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$259.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-73.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major US official out by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$485.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$222
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will BNB reach $1400 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$248.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$363.91
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,237.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+242.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+242.8%+$728.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+87.1%+$311.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,405.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.