Token Launches · resolved market
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ad5330f5bde27e76518b117ea75dfe39dd4c680e947593decdc37d9e727a5b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 44c | 9,764$4,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,492.85 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 33c | 9,374$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.5 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 38c | 7,909$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.97 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked No | 78c | 5,987$4,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.55 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 34c | 5,400$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.99 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed No | 73c | 4,989$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.66 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,430$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9081backed Yes | 27c | 4,395$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 61c | 4,126$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.29 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0e…5001backed No | 65c | 3,556$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.46 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…28e9backed Yes | 32c | 3,533$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.26 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 26cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked No | 42c | 3,005$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yes | 17c | 2,909$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…c90cbacked Yes | 60c | 2,771$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 36c | 2,707$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.02 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 40c | 2,529$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.19 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed Yes | 57c | 2,400$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.13 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…9af6backed Yes | 67c | 1,906$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…ee39backed Yes | 67c | 1,710$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.52 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 35c | 1,574$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…e720backed Yes | 14c | 1,568$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 12c | 1,495$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.57 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 69c | 1,217$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.51 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…c464backed No | 76c | 1,040$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…c245backed No | 31c | 1,004$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…431ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked No | 25c | 945.8$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.1 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 65c | 904.09$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.6 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 900.7$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.85 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked No | 34c | 899.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 57c | 870$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.9 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 36c | 743.64$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.58 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 63c | 734.01$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.11 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 655.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 74c | 650$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 37c | 648.12$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.17 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes | 41c | 643.48$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.23 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…ad5bbacked Yes | 32c | 619.28$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba91…72cdbacked No | 64c | 607.34$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.77 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 64c | 602.62$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.77 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 23c | 602.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.72 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Yes | 61c | 582.06$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.59 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c9c4backed No | 50c | 573.24$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1c…3439backed Yes | 75c | 555.89$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.68 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…9592backed Yes | 56c | 548.4$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.58 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 71c | 470.91$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…f560backed Yes | 30c | 456.7$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.01 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…c4e3backed No | 42c | 450$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…c029backed Yes | 61c | 438.71$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 17c | 419.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…6ad2backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 8c | 399.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…3025backed No | 76c | 388.29$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 67c | 382.62$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.23 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…d4a7backed Yes | 39c | 376.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.23 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 49c | 340.04$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked No | 62c | 314.91$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 46c | 314.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…1e56backed Yes | 32c | 309.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…579abacked No | 70c | 307.36$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…97a4backed No | 70c | 300.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 41c | 300.12$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.31 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…d5cfbacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…d418backed Yes | 49c | 284.41$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…1034backed No | 71c | 284.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 47c | 278.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed No | 58c | 273.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed No | 67c | 264.3$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b34…be64backed No | 66c | 259.3$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…a6e0backed Yes | 7c | 250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked No | 69c | 249.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…4baabacked No | 79c | 243.14$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Yes | 33c | 242.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…dc55backed No | 72c | 241.81$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…d819backed Yes | 39c | 240.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Yes | 30c | 236.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked No | 42c | 233.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 46c | 231.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 20c | 220$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…0540backed Yes | 65c | 219.24$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2df1…56cfbacked No | 70c | 216.55$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 17c | 215$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…086cbacked No | 72c | 210.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb087…38d7backed No | 71c | 208.1$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…5a66backed No | 43c | 205.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 7c | 200.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…f390backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked Yes | 17c | 198.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf849…ff55backed No | 49c | 197.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed No | 76c | 196.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…e400backed Yes | 37c | 196.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 17c | 186.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 45c | 177.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.