TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xedda…2e39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
248
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: UFC, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 58 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT9240.2%37 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$28.33
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$21.47
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$292.56
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.2
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$57.6
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.86
Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.14
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$115.54
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$79
Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.68
Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.8
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$21.06
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+349.4%+$69.89
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Morocco to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46.67
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Paraguay to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Canada to score first vs. Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Algeria to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Croatia to score first vs. Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.45
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT4027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.69
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$275.99
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.16
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$199.28
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200.5
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.5%+$49.51
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+589.7%+$683.99
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28.6%+$85.86
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$154.2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+52.8%+$52.76
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.8%+$117.83
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+144.8%+$65.14
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.7
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$75.95
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+28.8%+$205.16
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+86.5%+$173.1
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$660.26
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+70.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+381.8%+$736.13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+388.4%+$212.89
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.9
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+213.7%+$64.12
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+1,057.4%+$158.61
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+228%+$129.96
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$112.86
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-71%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.2
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$55.1
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+900%+$135
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.76
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+156.4%+$48.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.