Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce9c7a2545c6e77c31742124677ccea4ee8ca43ddb556ad8c4b63ae5abbfd553

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $164,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $165,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,538 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1635…5624backed No	72c	18,333$13,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,121.92	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes	0c	10,571$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.47	55	7.3%4 W · 51 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes	4c	10,404$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.63	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	26c	10,250$2,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,660	103	36.9%38 W · 65 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8fb…5a96backed Yes	22c	9,929$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,149.82	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-80%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…a26ebacked No	64c	8,639$5,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,092.08	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0826…0b32backed Yes	30c	6,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23f4…c234backed Yes	19c	5,465$1,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.31	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2229…6bf8backed No	76c	5,276$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,276.49	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+10.5wins	+0.28per pick	35cpaid	+90.8%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa958…fecfbacked Yes	21c	4,800$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.69	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…d122backed Yes	9c	3,797$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.8	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Yes	21c	2,648$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.57	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes	1c	2,051$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.01	111	7.2%8 W · 103 L	-12.9wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c55…9e26backed No	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.98	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-34%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a34…7ca4backed No	80c	1,877$1,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.61	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-5.0wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No	74c	1,860$1,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.6	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+13.3wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x407c…49aabacked Yes	2c	1,779$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.28	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	+8.5wins	+0.07per pick	14cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes	36c	1,591$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.11	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	1,511$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.75	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc2…9271backed No	56c	1,500$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes	28c	1,500$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ee…bd0dbacked Yes	21c	1,331$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.06	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c23…e487backed Yes	14c	1,300$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba70…1523backed Yes	25c	1,254$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	1,200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	154	1.9%3 W · 151 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf67f…31cfbacked No	61c	1,130$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.81	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ee1…16debacked Yes	47c	1,072$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4745…f586backed Yes	16c	1,060$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.54	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b3c…c600backed Yes	39c	1,026$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b90…2787backed Yes	32c	999.99$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	12c	868$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.08	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	731.49$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	206	1.9%4 W · 202 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3032…99e7backed Yes	47c	718.44$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.76	29	75.9%22 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.11per pick	65cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa792…2066backed Yes	33c	699.98$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked Yes	23c	585.3$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	56c	569$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.54	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b63…aa97backed Yes	7c	566.05$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-25%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes	16c	565$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.4	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+4.1wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+41%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5316…0906backed Yes	29c	540$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.6	59	74.6%44 W · 15 L	+12.8wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xaae2…dbdabacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x396f…7f78backed Yes	4c	499.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa9…d134backed Yes	27c	499.99$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-5.2wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9e76…ddb8backed Yes	24c	499.27$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x850a…ef01backed Yes	21c	476.8$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.13	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a25…ab66backed Yes	42c	476.65$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Yes	32c	469.01$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.8	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-55%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	57c	433$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.19	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bc…124abacked Yes	12c	419.5$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.44	103	38.8%40 W · 63 L	+10.9wins	+0.11per pick	28cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1b2…3c63backed Yes	10c	400.1$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.38per pick	29cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb717…d819backed Yes	16c	379.94$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.17	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Yes	39c	361.67$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	7c	354$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	110	7.3%8 W · 102 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e49…cc2abacked Yes	13c	344.83$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.83	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf44a…cc0bbacked Yes	11c	318$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf584…4c91backed Yes	21c	310$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.1	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc101…e6d1backed Yes	19c	305$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.55	181	44.8%81 W · 100 L	+23.4wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes	12c	299.6$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.95	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	30cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No	74c	295$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.7	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3aab…55bcbacked Yes	26c	295$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.7	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+7.1wins	+0.55per pick	15cpaid	+1,345.3%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	7c	290.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-48%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes	19c	260$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.4	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa86f…022cbacked Yes	10c	256$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd2…b613backed Yes	45c	244.68$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.15	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	52cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37f0…6edabacked Yes	9c	232.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.87	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	77c	231.77$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.31	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a7…ba3fbacked Yes	12c	230$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed Yes	23c	218.74$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	8c	214$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.12	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes	18c	209.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	14c	208.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes	15c	203.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.34	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15f7…f0c4backed No	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb56…c1bcbacked No	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58e9…441abacked No	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1b…8306backed No	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2250…cba6backed Yes	37c	200$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-4.1wins	-0.18per pick	41cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3320…c9e7backed Yes	26c	190$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.4	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	6c	157.85$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	21c	157.64$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes	25c	155.08$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.77	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.15per pick	31cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e9c…c878backed Yes	21c	141.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55f3…1a88backed No	76c	135.91$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.05	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-67%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	9c	121.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.86	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+4.3wins	+0.17per pick	14cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa48c…5506backed Yes	25c	119.2$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3057…7a96backed Yes	22c	115$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdaf…cfcdbacked Yes	47c	113.89$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.39	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+116.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b7d…92c4backed Yes	22c	113.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No	77c	113$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.99	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed Yes	26c	110$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	17c	107.52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.34	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf82f…59bfbacked Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked No	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0041…967cbacked No	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd20…6159backed Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	59cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7402…6a0cbacked No	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc456…8996backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	195	43.1%84 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8256…8785backed No	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+119.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x129b…24c4backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+6.7wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?this page
Over $100M committed to the Credible public sale?No won
Over $10M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes won
Over $12M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes won
Over $14M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes won
Over $16M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes won
Over $18M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes won
Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes won
Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes won
Over $27.5M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes won
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes won
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes won
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?No won
Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale?No won
Over $4M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes won
Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?No won
Over $55M committed to the Credible public sale?No won
Over $60M committed to the Credible public sale?No won
Over $65M committed to the Credible public sale?No won
Over $6M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes won
Over $70M committed to the Credible public sale?No won
Over $75M committed to the Credible public sale?No won
Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale?No won
Over $85M committed to the Credible public sale?No won
Over $8M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes won
Over $90M committed to the Credible public sale?No won
Over $95M committed to the Credible public sale?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event