TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $27.5M committed to the Credible public sale?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,395 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9506…b44fbacked No2c5,969$92 inLost-$91.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea5…8f4cbacked No2c5,000$95 inLost-$951618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-56.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d2…7048backed No2c4,947$92 inLost-$91.56922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3320…c9e7backed No2c3,014$50 inLost-$50.08714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-78.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba3…9cabbacked No1c2,811$18 inLost-$17.811866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+74.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6a10…f413backed No2c2,330$38 inLost-$38.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a4…1774backed No2c897.06$15 inLost-$15.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6018…ac09backed No2c617.63$11 inLost-$11.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.