TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeea5…8f4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Earnings, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-56.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$62.95
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$426.82
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$926Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$925.85
Over $27.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$496.8
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.38
Over $90M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.99
Over $80M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Over $60M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$517
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$199.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.3
Will Hyperliquid dip to $48 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.1
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.5
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.52
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.8
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.43
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.68
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.11
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.05
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.38
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$502.04
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$1,069.24
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.21
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$355
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+222.3%+$343.54
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.91
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.99
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.33
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.71
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$229.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-76%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.53
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.99
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$959.99
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.99
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$123
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$345
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.