Token Launches · resolved market
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a43ddc70cad989e3bc0ef17a049a800701e2415d2b79cc9c44a177cc6e934fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 19c | 34,052$6,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,468.92 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 77c | 13,611$10,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,534.24 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…0e5abacked No | 19c | 13,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,549.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 13c | 9,265$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.28 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 65c | 7,763$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.26 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 70c | 7,251$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.25 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 11c | 6,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 38c | 5,178$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.84 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…b8cabacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 62c | 2,928$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.85 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed No | 45c | 2,217$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.49 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked No | 41c | 2,007$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.19 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +10.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…a90cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,972$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed No | 34c | 1,885$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.87 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…862bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,791$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…92f6backed No | 48c | 1,770$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 67c | 1,746$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.16 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked No | 45c | 1,645$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 70c | 1,375$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,354$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.72 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked No | 41c | 1,327$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 8c | 1,311$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…fd72backed Yes | 7c | 1,261$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +220.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…6099backed No | 33c | 1,215$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,182$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.93 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…42adbacked No | 29c | 1,177$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.83 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 54c | 1,101$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.2 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 44c | 1,074$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed No | 32c | 1,045$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.56 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +260.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,039$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5510backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…3a7abacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed Yes | 63c | 949.99$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 41c | 911.47$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.54 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…97d5backed Yes | 66c | 901.96$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0906backed No | 34c | 900$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.6 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed No | 40c | 877.08$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 23c | 860$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 61c | 799.99$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 49c | 788.93$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.27 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked No | 41c | 760.84$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 12c | 745.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 69c | 742.77$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.31 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed No | 38c | 684.16$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.89 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 45c | 671.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.79 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked Yes | 73c | 615.8$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…6c51backed Yes | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 34c | 569.01$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.23 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 34c | 548.33$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.01 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…ac56backed No | 19c | 525.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.45 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 26c | 520$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.94 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes | 54c | 509.81$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…cfcdbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…4528backed No | 49c | 492.14$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.03 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 38c | 477.25$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.56 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 19c | 465.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 66c | 422.04$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 11c | 411.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…af1bbacked Yes | 49c | 408.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Yes | 57c | 404.29$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 64c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…3ba8backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 61c | 400$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…1704backed No | 25c | 399.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…66b2backed Yes | 63c | 388.53$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed No | 53c | 376.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 58c | 343.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 60c | 281.01$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 54c | 277.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 37c | 272.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked No | 32c | 253.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 253$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…ab24backed Yes | 53c | 235.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafe…4180backed Yes | 66c | 220.69$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…ffc9backed No | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +187.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 32c | 193.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67fa…1a08backed No | 48c | 193.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 50c | 191.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed No | 30c | 189.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…f43fbacked No | 38c | 175$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c75ebacked Yes | 60c | 169.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…41a8backed No | 56c | 165.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…dc55backed Yes | 59c | 163$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 65c | 154.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…b912backed No | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…5606backed Yes | 35c | 149.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…d9cfbacked Yes | 52c | 131.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 66c | 130.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 30c | 125$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked Yes | 47c | 123.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…f527backed Yes | 25c | 112.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…c3b3backed No | 41c | 108.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked No | 11c | 105$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 62c | 100.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…076abacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $12M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $16M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $1M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $2M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.