TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,870 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5167…cb83backed No1c3,676$30 inLost-$301030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed No2c3,131$50 inLost-$505642.9%24 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+260.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No1c1,885$26 inLost-$25.72061.9%4 W · 202 L+1.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No1c1,391$16 inLost-$15.814330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0281…e20abacked No1c1,390$14 inLost-$13.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No1c1,200$13 inLost-$13.041541.9%3 W · 151 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No1c1,199$15 inLost-$14.957663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…0e5abacked No2c1,000$18 inLost-$18.261323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick13cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7c2…2f69backed No5c600$29 inLost-$28.8616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-70.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e37…cccbbacked No5c300$15 inLost-$1510143.6%44 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc622…8f86backed No6c254.82$15 inLost-$15.295540%22 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No12c247$30 inLost-$29.6440%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad4…1704backed No7c181.44$13 inLost-$13.073050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6413…ab24backed Yes28c165.51$46 inWon+$119.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes74c118.07$87 inWon+$30.72213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-71.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bef…3b06backed No11c116.01$13 inLost-$12.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No13c115.64$15 inLost-$15.438134.6%28 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No26c50$13 inLost-$1330%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed Yes28c48.78$14 inWon+$35.121060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No72c20$14 inLost-$14.42850%14 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No72c20$14 inLost-$14.4540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.