TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34ab…840ebacked Yes20c20,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,0002475%18 W · 6 L+7.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+82.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1635…5624backed No80c15,431$12,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,344.655642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4e6…4bd4backed No79c8,860$7,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,009.718854.5%48 W · 40 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c13…0e5abacked No18c8,686$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.021323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick13cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes16c8,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,709.9710045%45 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…0d2ebacked Yes78c7,604$5,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+54.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes23c6,140$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,727.7410336.9%38 W · 65 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+63.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No76c4,400$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,34816740.7%68 W · 99 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe270…10b5backed Yes67c3,245$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.876634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4292…4a08backed No75c3,089$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.491421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c08…4db4backed No72c2,556$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.26650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes20c2,530$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.415100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+164.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed Yes16c2,506$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+137.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0281…e20abacked No8c2,470$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbebf…4e07backed No76c2,315$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.237061.4%43 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc445…552cbacked Yes18c2,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6401275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+65.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed No5c1,781$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8113422.4%30 W · 104 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+175.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes19c1,687$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.273141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No6c1,539$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.581541.9%3 W · 151 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0826…0b32backed No73c1,500$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.994938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No2c1,440$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.292061.9%4 W · 202 L+1.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No78c1,198$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.238032.5%26 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-36.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc622…8f86backed Yes14c1,097$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.455540%22 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa98b…6086backed No77c1,000$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7651947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1dd…e4a3backed Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick21cpaid+90.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes18c980.56$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.592722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes23c945.27$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.711346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed No6c857.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5514437.5%54 W · 90 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No61c777.01$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.162626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd925…f36fbacked No80c708.33$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.27850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes25c707$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.328739.1%34 W · 53 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes25c520$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3904938.8%19 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6b5…d5c6backed No5c486.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb920…1b19backed Yes17c472.63$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.742937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x828d…c9a5backed Yes20c421.26$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.012842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…4723backed No53c416$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.828154.3%44 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes17c385.36$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8519336.3%70 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No8c379$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.627663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No54c373$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.474330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x508d…791abacked No78c318$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.07520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1264…31e5backed No76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2281145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e8…c464backed No68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d85…dd2bbacked No70c286$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3032…99e7backed No72c276.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes21c250$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+39.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36f4…7518backed No67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0777…4b7fbacked Yes21c216.56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e8…904cbacked No33c216.53$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718744.8%39 W · 48 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bef…3b06backed No80c214.34$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Yes22c210$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.51442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd9…0c9abacked Yes13c200$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x352a…4c90backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+110.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No24c162.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.246320.5%95 W · 368 L-68.1wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-59.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed No46c158.48$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed Yes27c150.24$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6820551.2%105 W · 100 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes19c120$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.21546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick26cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes60c117.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.995650%28 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a2d…1d12backed Yes14c107.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.142128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x156a…09c9backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick44cpaid+174.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-80.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes27c99.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4821240.6%86 W · 126 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd2…b613backed Yes52c97.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.871172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No58c93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.021428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac02…af1bbacked Yes28c90.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.361040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…ea5cbacked Yes22c80$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.81963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No76c77.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.081625%4 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e64…c43ebacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.923100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+224.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf56…50e7backed No73c67.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed No76c62.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.74944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2be0…68adbacked No18c59.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+97.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf65d…b385backed Yes31c59.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+145%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed No68c58.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-64%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed Yes69c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.52638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No27c49.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31117.2%8 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-79.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd27d…95cebacked Yes41c45.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf33…1e17backed No53c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa41…9ababacked No41c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc76…5f55backed Yes34c35.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked No73c33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.04922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No56c31.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.793033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac4…efa0backed No73c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked No68c17.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-63.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f2b…a201backed No80c15.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe46…cb39backed No80c15.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.