Token Launches · resolved market
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x244437839aefb1445811e3a6fabe4cf9899e18414f81c29a58737a66dde676b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $514,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $604,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 12c | 77,844$9,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,268.2 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df2…6705backed No | 6c | 22,519$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…fd72backed No | 17c | 22,200$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +220.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…0e5abacked No | 8c | 18,500$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 5c | 17,003$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.88 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed No | 13c | 9,405$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed No | 4c | 6,376$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed No | 9c | 6,360$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked No | 18c | 5,699$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed No | 6c | 5,562$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed No | 11c | 5,385$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.21 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed No | 12c | 4,499$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.62 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +260.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…9e7abacked No | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…ab24backed No | 4c | 3,706$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed No | 8c | 3,323$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.96 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67fa…1a08backed No | 12c | 2,673$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…97d5backed No | 2c | 2,615$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked No | 16c | 2,605$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 6c | 2,527$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.38 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed No | 9c | 2,513$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.61 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 3c | 2,299$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0906backed No | 9c | 2,010$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 4c | 1,881$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,782$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.67 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +10.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed No | 1c | 1,708$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 17c | 1,619$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.35 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…600ebacked No | 16c | 1,565$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…071ebacked No | 3c | 1,550$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 1,513$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…cb83backed No | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 9c | 1,498$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 34c | 1,461$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 37c | 1,405$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 3c | 1,400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 14c | 1,388$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…7041backed No | 7c | 1,387$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 1,311$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…92f6backed No | 22c | 1,300$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf288…898fbacked No | 21c | 1,226$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 1c | 1,126$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 6c | 1,035$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed No | 8c | 913.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 11c | 902.21$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 7c | 872.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafe…4180backed No | 8c | 851.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked No | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 14c | 702.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…af1bbacked No | 8c | 700$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…3ba8backed No | 11c | 694.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…65abbacked No | 10c | 625.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 9c | 624.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 13c | 595.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65dd…4664backed No | 10c | 563$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 4c | 550$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…42adbacked No | 15c | 527.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…c3b3backed No | 17c | 512.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 80c | 507.78$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed No | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…6099backed No | 15c | 497.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked No | 6c | 475.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked No | 8c | 450$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…327ebacked Yes | 36c | 449.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…b912backed No | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…8627backed No | 3c | 373.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 9c | 357$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…f43fbacked No | 14c | 356.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…8424backed No | 4c | 351$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…445dbacked No | 12c | 341.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 28c | 303.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…ffc9backed No | 10c | 303$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +187.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 8c | 302.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…1704backed No | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…f74dbacked No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked No | 17c | 267.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed No | 6c | 252.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 248$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 65c | 247.22$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 75c | 244.28$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 21c | 238.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed No | 6c | 235.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked No | 8c | 209.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd53…8dd1backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…ed56backed No | 9c | 199.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…41a8backed No | 9c | 196.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 79c | 187.03$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 14c | 153.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…ec2dbacked No | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…f2dabacked No | 17c | 131.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…ce60backed No | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed No | 16c | 103.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9134…3e25backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x139a…c624backed No | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $12M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $16M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $1M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $2M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.