Token Launches · resolved market
Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4fec760121f5c30f31447009b1b295b342a1fc54fa20a9da29afc9a6a1f9552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 23c | 22,500$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.06 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 33c | 9,184$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.9 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…552cbacked Yes | 80c | 8,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 67c | 6,455$4,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.31 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 31c | 5,256$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…5650backed Yes | 76c | 2,687$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 67c | 2,300$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 77c | 1,801$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.33 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…445dbacked No | 1c | 1,402$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed Yes | 78c | 1,401$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.18 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 22c | 1,400$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0906backed Yes | 76c | 971.94$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.51 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed Yes | 77c | 909.77$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.93 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 24c | 700$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 71c | 630$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed No | 29c | 568.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.49 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +10.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 70c | 487.33$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked No | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 6c | 318.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 68c | 306.22$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e1…9010backed No | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 297$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 23c | 274$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked No | 29c | 222.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 23c | 210.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +260.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…3857backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 21c | 199.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 20c | 168.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 68c | 164$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 24c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 70c | 141.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…a56dbacked Yes | 74c | 134.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 68c | 124$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 24c | 115.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 21c | 115$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 24c | 114.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +104%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed No | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…150cbacked No | 29c | 92.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 27c | 91.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed No | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed Yes | 68c | 79.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 69c | 77.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…abf6backed No | 33c | 74.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4804…3f54backed Yes | 77c | 69.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 67c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed No | 35c | 54.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…a7eebacked Yes | 77c | 53.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…1c5dbacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…8afebacked Yes | 77c | 41.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…2b47backed Yes | 79c | 22.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…e563backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…2953backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $12M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $16M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $1M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $2M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.