TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6741…2b47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$7.68
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.67
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+38%+$17.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.67
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$5.63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.32
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.19
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$4.71
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.71
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$12.29
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$6.19
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick78cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.98
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.64
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.1
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.49
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$38.06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$17.51
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$8.92
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$7.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$69.17
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30%+$19.82
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$7.92
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$18.94
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.62
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$8.75
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.57
Canadian Open: Jaume Munar vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.12
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williamsbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.1
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.67
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.46
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.02
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Ferybacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.93
Oeiras 4: Petr Brunclik vs Jaime Fariabacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+39%+$8.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.68
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$4.06
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$5.95
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.27
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.87
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$6.59
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.28
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.87
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.63
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.75
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$25.63
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.52
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.02
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.75
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.12
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$4.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$4.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+34%+$6.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$17.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.