Token Launches · resolved market
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e1109ea8534803d6f64bb6bb45892ed8a5a77fa3be6b529df707ece6fdd7664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 10c | 16,867$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.42 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 13,373$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…fd72backed No | 0c | 12,318$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +220.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 11c | 9,570$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,508.2 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed No | 1c | 9,121$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +260.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 7,332$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…445dbacked No | 1c | 6,150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed No | 1c | 5,191$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…0e5abacked No | 0c | 5,109$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 1c | 5,033$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed No | 2c | 2,411$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…cfcdbacked Yes | 67c | 2,210$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.73 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…0d2ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed No | 2c | 1,948$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,867$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.89 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +10.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,583$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 13c | 1,564$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.62 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked No | 8c | 1,500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 18c | 1,314$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 40c | 1,238$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.61 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…4a08backed Yes | 11c | 1,189$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.92 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 78c | 1,188$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.07 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 7c | 879.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 60c | 838.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…af1bbacked No | 2c | 810.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 13c | 743.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.05 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 12c | 693.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db1…d8e9backed No | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…cb83backed No | 3c | 588.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 12c | 566.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.9 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1c…3439backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 76c | 499$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…0088backed Yes | 12c | 421.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +204.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 4c | 404$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked Yes | 78c | 353.53$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 65c | 330.28$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 14c | 318.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 42c | 221.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…8a6abacked Yes | 18c | 199$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 54c | 182.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 35c | 130.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…ce60backed No | 80c | 122.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…66b2backed Yes | 75c | 119.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 20c | 101.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156a…09c9backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…8559backed No | 25c | 78.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0906backed Yes | 75c | 71.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed No | 57c | 67.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed No | 59c | 50.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…a201backed No | 25c | 46.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 62c | 45.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 24c | 44.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…d9cfbacked Yes | 53c | 33.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked No | 60c | 24.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…2b47backed Yes | 78c | 23.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…a0abbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…d4fbbacked Yes | 77c | 15.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $12M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $16M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $1M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $2M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.