TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $90M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,141 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c55…9e26backed Yes2c2,146$50 inLost-$504641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes1c1,735$18 inLost-$17.854835.4%17 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c1,585$23 inLost-$22.562061.9%4 W · 202 L+1.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06dc…fd72backed Yes3c1,316$34 inLost-$33.972441.7%10 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.27per pick15cpaid+220.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes1c1,000$11 inLost-$111618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-56.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes2c881.87$21 inLost-$21.212213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-71.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbbe…354ebacked Yes3c663.42$20 inLost-$19.59100%0 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes4c490.4$20 inLost-$20.368134.6%28 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Yes3c450$15 inLost-$14.851330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c160$10 inLost-$10.47663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.