Token Launches · resolved market
Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47db358f70bea3206d8bf1572cd8b711334c55587a2d2e753683d22754f0f52c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c55…9e26backed Yes | 23c | 24,243$5,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,565.02 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…0e5abacked No | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,883$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 33c | 5,812$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.9 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked No | 66c | 4,356$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.2 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +10.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 70c | 4,008$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.88 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 3,834$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.55 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…862bbacked Yes | 65c | 3,013$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,308$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.83 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…ab24backed Yes | 39c | 2,243$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,999$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.13 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 46c | 1,827$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.54 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,527$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.95 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…cfcdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,362$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Yes | 10c | 1,296$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.85 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 64c | 1,111$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.46 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes | 29c | 1,109$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,084$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c75ebacked Yes | 32c | 895.37$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 879.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…fd72backed Yes | 5c | 879.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +220.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 66c | 756.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.07 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 29c | 744$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…3353backed No | 76c | 720.38$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…2953backed Yes | 9c | 622.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked No | 65c | 512.59$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Yes | 31c | 499.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.49 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…3a7abacked Yes | 31c | 494.51$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked No | 67c | 483.85$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 71c | 483.76$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98b…6086backed Yes | 36c | 475$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 39c | 474.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.29 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…e8f6backed Yes | 22c | 454.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 4c | 422.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…f2f0backed No | 56c | 420$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…af1bbacked No | 80c | 418.81$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…6c51backed Yes | 43c | 400$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 52c | 362.71$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.48 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…42adbacked No | 62c | 362.12$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 54c | 340.81$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 37c | 338.51$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…66b2backed Yes | 51c | 315.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 71c | 300$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed Yes | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…b912backed No | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked No | 54c | 299.84$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0906backed No | 67c | 289$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 9c | 268.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…1befbacked No | 75c | 265.32$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +205.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 55c | 252.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 31c | 251.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked Yes | 60c | 249.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 35c | 244.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fa…7c51backed Yes | 39c | 229.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…51fdbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 38c | 172.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 61c | 171$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…92f6backed No | 67c | 170.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed No | 37c | 151.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…071ebacked Yes | 43c | 139.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 61c | 118.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…0409backed Yes | 61c | 102.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed No | 68c | 98.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…ce60backed No | 61c | 97.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 15c | 97.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…1704backed No | 52c | 95.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 18c | 94.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…c7b1backed No | 57c | 93.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be3…df5ebacked Yes | 21c | 84.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b5…4d41backed Yes | 36c | 83.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…ffc9backed No | 13c | 83.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +187.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…841abacked Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…2100backed No | 68c | 73.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…5606backed Yes | 33c | 68.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…d9cfbacked Yes | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…c715backed Yes | 37c | 62.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed No | 65c | 60.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 41c | 60.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 33c | 58.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…28c0backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…637cbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…8f11backed No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked Yes | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 71c | 49.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x414e…144ebacked Yes | 45c | 46.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…dbebbacked No | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…02eabacked Yes | 46c | 42.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 48c | 41.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked Yes | 39c | 40.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…41a8backed Yes | 39c | 38.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed No | 55c | 33.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf415…995abacked Yes | 67c | 32.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +249.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $12M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $16M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $1M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $2M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.