Token Launches · resolved market
Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x699904fd608e8f795613035bcf7d30617f00669276d39269ec27eeba354549fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 32c | 29,700$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450.32 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 33c | 19,593$6,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,485 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed Yes | 54c | 15,007$8,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,844.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked Yes | 60c | 10,000$5,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,010.29 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 52c | 6,892$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.97 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed No | 40c | 6,722$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.88 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…552cbacked Yes | 57c | 4,998$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.17 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…cb83backed No | 39c | 4,800$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…5650backed Yes | 64c | 4,433$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 68c | 4,119$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.45 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 45c | 4,115$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.57 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7b…4416backed No | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 45c | 3,805$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.5 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 53c | 3,398$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.19 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 59c | 3,011$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.48 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed No | 36c | 3,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.83 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +260.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed No | 39c | 2,920$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed No | 34c | 2,773$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.68 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 51c | 2,500$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 40c | 2,100$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…445dbacked No | 3c | 2,006$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 74c | 2,004$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.94 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…0e5abacked No | 4c | 1,900$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…0088backed Yes | 58c | 1,800$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed No | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed No | 45c | 1,485$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 1,200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked No | 39c | 1,113$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.19 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…4db4backed No | 47c | 1,029$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…c4e3backed No | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…8a95backed Yes | 55c | 994.68$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.61 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 51c | 979.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.34 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 36c | 899.99$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 44c | 804.37$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.92 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8434…55fcbacked No | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 58c | 770$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 39c | 733.72$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.69 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 57c | 724.24$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 12c | 713.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…7cf2backed No | 10c | 612.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 43c | 600$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked No | 38c | 590.51$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…0f83backed No | 40c | 577.71$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…4a08backed Yes | 60c | 502.47$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +10.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…dd39backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…f496backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…3a7abacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 3c | 423$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…b912backed No | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…c464backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…f2a3backed No | 54c | 374.43$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 352$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 46c | 345.1$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.38 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 33c | 300.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…909abacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 55c | 264.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…ab03backed No | 30c | 251.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…8c95backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 12c | 239.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…31e5backed No | 38c | 236.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked No | 33c | 235.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16b…d420backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 52c | 185$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed No | 37c | 182.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…3857backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed No | 44c | 162$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…4c90backed Yes | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…5b1ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 57c | 145$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa98b…6086backed No | 29c | 140.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 44c | 137$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 45c | 128.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…150cbacked No | 42c | 123.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcec…d169backed No | 28c | 116$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 34c | 113.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…4c65backed No | 44c | 104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156a…09c9backed Yes | 61c | 103.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 27c | 102.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 10c | 101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…99f9backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 56c | 99.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Yes | 69c | 94.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…abf6backed No | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…7582backed No | 37c | 90.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed No | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 40c | 88.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Yes | 45c | 84.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 55c | 77.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed No | 51c | 76.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $12M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $16M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $1M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $2M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.