Token Launches · resolved market
Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17590a28e61be9b10e36a2528579cbc2c79c31c4a45c757d471ba11ded6b84a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc13c…a202backed Yes | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 53c | 6,977$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.17 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 56c | 4,119$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.64 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 23c | 2,044$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.23 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…92f6backed No | 69c | 1,672$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9e26backed Yes | 10c | 1,517$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.07 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…862bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,448$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 6c | 1,374$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed No | 73c | 1,364$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…354ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,310$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,222$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,113$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 11c | 828.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed No | 53c | 705.29$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 45c | 680$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 77c | 595.4$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Yes | 17c | 486.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +10.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 67c | 410.52$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…ffc9backed No | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +187.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed Yes | 36c | 399.47$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0906backed No | 53c | 357.78$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.16 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…cfcdbacked Yes | 4c | 301.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed No | 53c | 263.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 12c | 201$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…ac56backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked No | 59c | 177.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed No | 71c | 171.77$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…66b2backed Yes | 53c | 169.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…9678backed Yes | 24c | 166.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Yes | 36c | 155.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked No | 51c | 144.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed No | 58c | 127.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f247backed Yes | 24c | 122.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…5606backed Yes | 40c | 119.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked No | 56c | 119.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 22c | 110.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 13c | 108.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 11c | 101.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fde…ec1dbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…a0abbacked No | 56c | 98.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…c715backed Yes | 25c | 98.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 13c | 98.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…b401backed No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 49c | 73.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…56f8backed Yes | 37c | 71.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 20c | 67.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4229…c131backed No | 53c | 66.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 17c | 60.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 24c | 60.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…a390backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed No | 51c | 58.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65dd…4664backed No | 69c | 53.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed Yes | 41c | 51.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 39c | 45.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…67f9backed Yes | 54c | 42.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…c610backed No | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 75c | 35.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 48 | 91.7%44 W · 4 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…dbebbacked No | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…5ee1backed Yes | 54c | 34.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…9de3backed No | 78c | 31.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…61adbacked Yes | 45c | 31.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…ed15backed Yes | 54c | 29.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…4ba9backed Yes | 54c | 25.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 65c | 24.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $12M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $16M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $1M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $2M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.