Token Launches · resolved market
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaebed4bae8a88ead95771492f1c7e6fcb6228c75b900a6a847d1b26683e94e13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked Yes | 32c | 34,047$11,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,034.75 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 56c | 25,000$13,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,948.34 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 69c | 16,793$11,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,633.97 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…445dbacked No | 1c | 9,569$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…0e5abacked No | 20c | 8,231$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.45 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 43c | 6,943$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.74 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7b…4416backed No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 70c | 4,999$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 55c | 4,684$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…7cf2backed No | 68c | 4,515$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…552cbacked Yes | 33c | 4,318$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 2c | 4,113$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed No | 66c | 4,000$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.63 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +260.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…5650backed Yes | 50c | 3,933$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 70c | 3,685$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.89 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 50c | 3,600$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Yes | 70c | 3,260$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…cb83backed No | 67c | 3,214$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 30c | 3,111$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 76c | 3,066$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.11 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…7582backed No | 68c | 2,555$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…5624backed Yes | 33c | 2,213$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.92 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 54c | 1,873$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.35 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…0f83backed No | 62c | 1,655$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed Yes | 62c | 1,535$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.91 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…4db4backed No | 70c | 1,459$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,289$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.88 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 29c | 1,221$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.98 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 33c | 1,220$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.4 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 29c | 1,200$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.56 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98b…6086backed No | 54c | 1,144$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.93 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 70c | 1,079$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.17 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…c4e3backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafc3…6878backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…4a08backed No | 60c | 929.28$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 66c | 927.09$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…92f6backed Yes | 19c | 918.32$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 47c | 790.87$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 3c | 752$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…c771backed No | 71c | 687.92$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed No | 26c | 630.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…85e1backed Yes | 34c | 630.04$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0906backed No | 60c | 600$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed Yes | 68c | 519.06$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.37 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 47c | 510.77$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.71 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…34a1backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…e4a3backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…c464backed No | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 12c | 409.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 31c | 400$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 35c | 377.48$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…086cbacked No | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…dd39backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…31e5backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…68adbacked No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…4c90backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 29c | 297.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked No | 65c | 253$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…99a1backed Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 70c | 238.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 70c | 237.24$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 14c | 220$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked No | 70c | 220$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 43c | 219.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed No | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked No | 65c | 195.41$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1c…3439backed Yes | 31c | 180$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 34c | 168$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 57c | 157.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 70c | 145$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 34c | 136$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 33c | 134.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…1d12backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…e8a4backed No | 70c | 112.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 66c | 102.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156a…09c9backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fb…58e2backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…0c9abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed Yes | 49c | 99.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +145%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed No | 71c | 83.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…5b1ebacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…d526backed Yes | 43c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…bf4ebacked Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Yes | 31c | 68.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…7627backed No | 69c | 65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed No | 72c | 64.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 21c | 62.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…2ec2backed Yes | 35c | 61.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 31c | 58.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…c43ebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +224.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 35c | 56.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…c6dabacked No | 69c | 52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $16M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $1M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $2M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.