TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06d6…8360

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.1
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+650%+$10,399.99
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.14
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$975
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.99
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.48
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$135.87
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.39
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.8
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,174
Panama leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$66.37
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.6
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$15
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$157.5
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.1
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.74
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28%+$65.7
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$321.99
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$271
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.7%+$48.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+170.4%+$146.57
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3)backed REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+37%+$27
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$464
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.