Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2caca3072251d3b9e03e3ef2769d09d55813134c267eb6a2c8910917d0ae6be2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 399.23$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 4c | 397.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 23c | 379.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 30c | 274.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 268.3$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 245.85$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 78c | 235.96$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8580…3f7cbacked Yes | 24c | 219.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 210$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 32c | 203.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 35c | 189$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 70c | 185.23$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 184.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 9c | 182.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 29c | 176.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 7c | 172.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 31c | 167.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 36c | 142.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 73c | 133.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 17c | 132.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 126$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 74c | 124.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 33c | 124.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…0400backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 118$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 116.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 23c | 112.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 13c | 110.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 23c | 107.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d9…ee63backed Yes | 14c | 106.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 100.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 69c | 100.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 99.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 34c | 97.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 94.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 30c | 85.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…4534backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 28c | 76.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 34c | 71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 78c | 64.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 69c | 61.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 64c | 59.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 36c | 56.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 39c | 55.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 27c | 53.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 68c | 52.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 36c | 51.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ae…9df0backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…4edbbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 72c | 39.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 30c | 38.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 69c | 34.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 68c | 32.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 64c | 32.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…9d10backed No | 64c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 68c | 29.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…68afbacked Yes | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 76c | 26.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 60c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 66c | 22.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558b…f41bbacked No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 286 | 60.8%174 W · 112 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…8f82backed No | 68c | 21.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…a422backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…cb91backed No | 68c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 77c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 19.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 70c | 18.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 67c | 18.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 65c | 17.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e682backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 258 | 68.2%176 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.