Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48c3910ea7844761ba4b39e7765b6c80b2fa20f7ce8778b3f046642ebfb5e73c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 24c | 712.93$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 313.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 77c | 302.82$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…a8f4backed No | 63c | 276.21$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 39c | 266.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 12c | 242.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 33c | 217.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked No | 58c | 216.67$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 205$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 14c | 200.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 184.94$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 183.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 22c | 166.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 24c | 152.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…6009backed No | 78c | 144.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 18c | 127.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 65c | 126.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 27c | 121.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 78c | 111.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 36c | 110.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed No | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Yes | 52c | 109.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 19c | 106.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 19c | 106.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 26c | 104.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7518backed Yes | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 79c | 99.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 80c | 98.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 17c | 93.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 78c | 91.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…4edbbacked Yes | 24c | 83.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…1deabacked No | 73c | 82.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 79c | 79.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 41c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 39c | 72.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 60c | 70.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c13abacked Yes | 16c | 69.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 69.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 44c | 67.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…14ccbacked Yes | 17c | 66.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 72c | 63.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 24c | 62.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 77c | 61.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…a270backed Yes | 21c | 60.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 27c | 56.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 21c | 54.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed Yes | 24c | 53.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…24cdbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf3…ca4abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 21c | 47.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…5cb0backed Yes | 26c | 46.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 71c | 43.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 27c | 42.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 72c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked No | 78c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 233 | 34.3%80 W · 153 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 44c | 37.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 51c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 35.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 66c | 35.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 76c | 34.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e1…c79cbacked Yes | 45c | 33.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 74c | 32.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 55c | 31.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…fb2fbacked No | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…56d9backed No | 62c | 24.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 69c | 22.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 63c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 76c | 19.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.