Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48de78fbc2304d719044b12714383975d0c0f1629e0475cd903987a7eda3f78e

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $100,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $107,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,078 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5677…2ce9backed Over	70c	7,946$5,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,562.2	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over	64c	7,000$4,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,470	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over	58c	6,815$3,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,924.91	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under	34c	5,776$1,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,801.42	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under	33c	4,543$1,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,043.93	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over	60c	3,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over	62c	3,000$1,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,859.85	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	37c	2,699$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700.66	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ae…41afbacked Under	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+117.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	38c	2,276$874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,401.35	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	56c	1,867$1,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829.02	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	60c	1,820$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.17	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Over	62c	1,500$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	37c	1,500$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.77	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	38c	1,327$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.88	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under	39c	1,250$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.49	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	61c	1,213$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.93	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	57c	1,053$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	2c	933$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.34	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+5.8wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	+165.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5a4…5c91backed Under	39c	655.99$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.16	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Under	43c	504$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.28	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	240	47.5%114 W · 126 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over	66c	499.03$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.11	240	62.5%150 W · 90 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over	55c	475.04$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.27	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under	36c	463.76$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.8	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Under	74c	435.04$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.11	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under	58c	427$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.34	83	65.1%54 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	35c	410.14$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.59	741	56.8%421 W · 320 L	+46.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	43c	382.58$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.47	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e67…8b45backed Under	41c	365.85$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.85	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over	34c	349.12$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.22	104	33.7%35 W · 69 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over	63c	344.25$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.88	150	60.7%91 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	61c	327.87$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over	67c	291.04$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3893…6e0cbacked Over	63c	277.76$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.99	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over	62c	241.93$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b9e…db57backed Over	64c	226.81$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.16	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over	76c	223.68$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over	37c	202.6$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.52	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Under	39c	200$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24c3…adfbbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over	61c	200$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	48c	194.44$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.71	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over	57c	175$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.75	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over	60c	168.93$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.84	241	58.1%140 W · 101 L	+34.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	66c	168.16$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-4.3wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-9.7wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6dd…3139backed Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4675…d7d0backed Over	62c	161.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	62c	161.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	48c	158.86$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over	26c	153.85$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-7.0wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over	43c	149.98$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.49	126	47.6%60 W · 66 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Under	41c	149.89$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.57	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under	37c	148.18$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.35	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over	70c	142.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Over	25c	138.08$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.52	71	38%27 W · 44 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over	61c	131.15$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over	61c	130$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.3	277	52%144 W · 133 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over	49c	122.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Under	57c	115.43$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.63	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over	48c	115$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-12.8wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Under	40c	111$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.6	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Under	55c	109.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over	68c	102.94$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	50c	102$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over	43c	101$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.43	101	24.8%25 W · 76 L	-12.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	143	42.7%61 W · 82 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9791…caeabacked Over	61c	98.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Under	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bda…b7bbbacked Over	61c	98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	42c	89.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe61a…61afbacked Under	40c	87.5$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d2c…c6abbacked Over	46c	85.35$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.31	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Over	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under	39c	84.61$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.61	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over	25c	75$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	614	41.2%253 W · 361 L	-27.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under	38c	70$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.4	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+13.0wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	63c	57.14$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over	46c	54.48$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+5.5wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Over	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Under	38c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x423d…c621backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over	61c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-6.4wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-42%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over	61c	49.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3164…85efbacked Under	33c	48.48$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.48	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over	61c	47.87$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	59cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over	63c	47.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	131	49.6%65 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5bc…35b6backed Under	40c	47$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd033…033dbacked Over	61c	45.9$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over	61c	40.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e88…7d0cbacked Over	51c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	297	51.9%154 W · 143 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5this page
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event