Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa14dff03f0f279e25b40d828742b6e9cb765bdd2c1398b8429b2ae0918746dd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.01 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 7,706$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,673.03 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…1f15backed Yes | 51c | 5,647$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 48c | 4,083$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.96 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 3,078$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.32 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 47c | 2,853$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.11 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Yes | 51c | 1,579$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.91 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 50c | 1,399$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,381$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.72 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 1,265$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 734$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.32 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 56c | 714.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 48c | 697.95$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.76 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 51c | 585.22$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.76 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Yes | 52c | 481.75$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 393$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.64 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 51c | 390.2$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…06d4backed Yes | 51c | 194.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 51c | 148.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 66c | 130.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 51c | 126.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 50c | 123.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 38c | 114.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…ee21backed Yes | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…05bcbacked Yes | 45c | 66.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 51c | 48.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 47c | 46.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…14f8backed No | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…95fbbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…31b3backed No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Yes | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x609b…5877backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…c95cbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…dc6ebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.