Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x554163cea34916a94163ab7f4cd0c0502f81c119fe7357685a4cc11f1dca236e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 41c | 110,237$45,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,197.23 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 62c | 108,042$66,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,381.86 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,500 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 38c | 50,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 27,377$16,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,795.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 14,654$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.27 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Under | 78c | 8,300$6,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 39c | 7,534$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.34 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 3,447$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.33 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 59c | 2,248$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Over | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 79c | 1,865$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.94 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Over | 41c | 1,609$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 59c | 1,451$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.91 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…7807backed Over | 21c | 1,148$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Over | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 66c | 570.11$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.84 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 61c | 534.18$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.33 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…cf57backed Under | 65c | 462.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…6ec2backed Over | 37c | 415.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ac77backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 24c | 377.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 28c | 337.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 198.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Over | 39c | 195.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dd…3139backed Over | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…c289backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 61c | 146.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…61afbacked Under | 63c | 138.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over | 27c | 137.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Over | 41c | 116.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -9.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Under | 64c | 90.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 38c | 73.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 40c | 68.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…7d64backed Under | 73c | 58.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 28c | 51.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Under | 61c | 47.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 41c | 47.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fe62backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 60c | 40.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 37c | 40.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 73c | 36.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Under | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 62c | 29.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.