Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe882f8fc04856cbfff08ad1b2c11d92395519d92f870c8aba1f83dfc0d91f71b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof PARIVISION, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked PARIVISION | 76c | 12,190$9,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,205.6 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 11,620$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,014.86 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 10,837$7,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.8 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 10,164$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,262.18 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 10,024$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.07 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 9,883$4,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,344.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed PARIVISION | 76c | 4,758$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.63 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 4,732$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.22 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 3,003$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.71 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked PARIVISION | 73c | 2,959$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.69 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,634$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 2,023$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.76 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,895$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.88 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,733$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.64 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 1,701$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.12 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 1c | 1,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed PARIVISION | 3c | 1,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,424$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.62 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 1,395$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.58 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ad…887abacked PARIVISION | 8c | 1,201$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed PARIVISION | 78c | 1,151$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.81 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,126$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.15 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,079$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.55 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…fe28backed PARIVISION | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…a652backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 959.23$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed PARIVISION | 24c | 703.66$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 664.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.71 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 585.46$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.85 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 520.85$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.21 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 499.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.99 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…2e1fbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 486.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +282%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked PARIVISION | 8c | 469.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 459.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.7 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 450.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.12 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 445$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.35 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 419.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.38 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…6261backed PARIVISION | 72c | 356.12$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed PARIVISION | 36c | 342.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed PARIVISION | 38c | 333$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 320.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.85 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed PARIVISION | 72c | 299.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 291.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.67 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 287.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.11 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 282.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 263.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 259.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 26cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…d4afbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 258.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed PARIVISION | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 245.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.83 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 219.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…6c2ebacked PARIVISION | 70c | 213.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.61 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION | 78c | 213.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.24 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed PARIVISION | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 193.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 183.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa432…8d9abacked PARIVISION | 71c | 178.57$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 177.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 174.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 173.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 173.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed PARIVISION | 77c | 162.34$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…29dfbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 156.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +213.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 151.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked PARIVISION | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed PARIVISION | 52c | 148.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed PARIVISION | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…6964backed PARIVISION | 76c | 132.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed PARIVISION | 73c | 130.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed PARIVISION | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 125.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa418…0877backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…3ec9backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 122.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 120.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 114.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…e39bbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed PARIVISION | 71c | 112.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…0cfebacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 105.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +263.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 103.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 103.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8e…d13cbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed PARIVISION | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 95.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…2722backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 94.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 94.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed PARIVISION | 72c | 83.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 83.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…5bf3backed PARIVISION | 44c | 82.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed PARIVISION | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…a1e5backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 75.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…cceabacked PARIVISION | 73c | 75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed PARIVISION | 43c | 73.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 73.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.