TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Brisbane International: Marketa Vondrousova vs Magdalena Frech

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Frechof Vondrousova, Frech
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$316,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Vondrousova59c45,802$27,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,225.3510444.2%46 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…18e1backed Vondrousova0c23,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Frech44c20,305$8,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,468.248,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Vondrousova36c19,010$6,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,762.294647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Frech41c16,152$6,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,475.0111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed Vondrousova1c11,765$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.63616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-78%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Frech45c11,143$5,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,095.2337540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Frech40c7,616$3,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,571.52,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Vondrousova42c7,400$3,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.934841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Frech54c7,190$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.277,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Frech24c7,000$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,344.526549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Frech43c6,500$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,725.851,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Frech60c5,676$3,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.631647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x026b…bb31backed Vondrousova55c3,900$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd289…079fbacked Vondrousova63c3,713$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.422568%17 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Frech39c3,206$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9532,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Frech25c3,137$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.5812735.4%45 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Vondrousova62c3,005$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.9552844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vondrousova34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.981,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1021…e648backed Frech43c2,349$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.621631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Frech16c2,206$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.076,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Frech54c2,110$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.081,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Vondrousova56c1,972$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1136043.3%26 W · 34 L-9.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0623…4e38backed Vondrousova55c1,960$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Frech52c1,940$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.122839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Frech52c1,444$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.9410252%53 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Frech77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.71656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Frech32c1,279$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.531,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Frech40c1,254$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.5510443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Frech33c1,231$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.753268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Vondrousova46c1,218$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.162347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…53b3backed Vondrousova43c1,122$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.47848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Vondrousova70c1,047$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.9135247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Frech42c1,027$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.621,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd102…776ebacked Frech56c999.37$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Vondrousova51c977.1$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa432…8d9abacked Vondrousova52c970.21$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6135…9b85backed Frech67c908.62$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Vondrousova75c866.2$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.1918663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Frech58c778.58$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.042,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34c1…7d67backed Frech67c754.25$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Frech43c694.18$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.642,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Vondrousova60c654.2$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.8536968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed06…f663backed Vondrousova73c641.09$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Frech23c531.31$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.622958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Frech25c520$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.622021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Frech31c502.61$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.7257645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Frech20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40029636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Vondrousova42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Frech56c462.69$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.625265.4%34 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Vondrousova62c419.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.391,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Frech71c403.16$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.95742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Frech28c398.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Vondrousova40c394.84$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.337339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c2…51f9backed Frech64c393.5$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.662828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Frech59c386.63$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.242975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Frech27c375.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.473627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Vondrousova43c369.25$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.781,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2eb…83b2backed Vondrousova43c345.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick27cpaid+158.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Frech58c343.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Vondrousova60c341.5$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.445349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Frech30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.333745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Frech73c331.14$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.419762.9%61 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86f…6c34backed Frech34c320.03$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+190.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7586…3beabacked Vondrousova40c316.81$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Frech66c300.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7746453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac1…c3e1backed Vondrousova39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1176839.7%27 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+2.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Frech26c299.93$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7625542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Frech60c287.11$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.326855.9%38 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Vondrousova67c280.87$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Frech36c274.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.881,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf691…ef99backed Vondrousova75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5a…6261backed Frech65c266.08$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Vondrousova44c263.07$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11517432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8396…0de1backed Frech49c263$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Vondrousova62c258.06$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Frech59c256.25$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2514858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Frech40c251.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8671857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Frech29c243.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.71136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+68.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9c7…007dbacked Vondrousova48c239.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.235927.1%16 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Frech65c238.46$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4669350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Vondrousova42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6123…c151backed Frech35c228.76$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39ad…887abacked Frech61c216.67$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.67785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Vondrousova39c202.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8036038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Vondrousova58c200$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.652864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Frech50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Frech66c199.47$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.826046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9a…3487backed Vondrousova73c191.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.531080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Frech56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Vondrousova44c177.37$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Frech46c174.13$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6246649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Frech32c171.94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.878713.8%12 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Vondrousova26c170.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.211,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Frech63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a7…d292backed Vondrousova71c156.48$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Vondrousova12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184513.3%6 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+134.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Vondrousova72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019152.4%100 W · 91 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Frech46c138.13$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.233352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb768…b6f7backed Vondrousova31c135.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.