TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd102…776e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$27.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$31.1
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.86
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+45.6%+$4.7
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+59.6%+$22.4
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.19
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+57%+$11.4
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$57.16
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$25.05
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+32.6%+$13.04
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+36.5%+$7.31
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.13
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.1%+$5.2
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+77.7%+$38.28
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+41.1%+$14.82
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2475%18 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.99
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+30.8%+$25.9
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+56.2%+$36
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$74
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+43.1%+$10.23
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$16.92
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+55.3%+$22.11
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+50.5%+$15.14
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+35.8%+$7.16
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.84
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$72.23
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+52.3%+$20.93
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+35.3%+$14.11
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+77.7%+$46.63
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+46%+$75.96
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.61
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3.9
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+33.7%+$37.86
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,498Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$422.4
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+73.7%+$29.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+50.8%+$10.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25.1%+$9.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$239.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.