Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3adae6ad62a80ff8ed5493a191d98e57486afeada75855f516e3672795e2800c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 5c | 20,666$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.08 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 14,598$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.99 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 7,809$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.75 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 4c | 4,913$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.88 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 7c | 4,109$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.62 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.99 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,675$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.79 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 59c | 2,145$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.18 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 58c | 2,031$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.11 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked No | 30c | 1,990$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 51c | 1,521$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.92 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,502$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.82 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 30c | 1,500$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.7 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 79c | 1,474$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Yes | 64c | 1,389$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 5c | 1,362$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 1,336$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.32 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 45c | 1,275$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…934cbacked No | 44c | 1,126$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 45c | 1,116$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 45c | 979$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.44 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 21c | 878.79$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 62c | 764.22$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.68 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 28c | 731.61$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.76 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 26c | 723.76$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 10c | 669$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 39c | 628.21$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked No | 11c | 604.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed No | 23c | 590.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.72 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 26c | 584.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.28 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8820…0118backed Yes | 60c | 565.28$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 17c | 564.77$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.55 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 63c | 550.87$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.63 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 80c | 526.97$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.58 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 72c | 526.49$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 490$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.32 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked Yes | 78c | 475.73$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 18c | 432.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.33 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Yes | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked No | 44c | 419.45$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.56 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 55c | 377.01$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.42 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed No | 22c | 371.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 67c | 356.63$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked No | 9c | 319.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…41b5backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed No | 9c | 284.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 42c | 279.09$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 269$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 16c | 251.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 77c | 231$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 76c | 203.96$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…9075backed Yes | 79c | 195.97$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Yes | 60c | 184.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 80c | 180.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…80d5backed Yes | 19c | 180$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 28c | 177.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…da3ebacked Yes | 19c | 169.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Yes | 26c | 169.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 19c | 167$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 60c | 166.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 34c | 162.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 16c | 162$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked No | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 148.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…1eb0backed Yes | 70c | 147.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 21c | 141.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 74c | 135.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…ed92backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 37c | 125$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Yes | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 24c | 119.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 40c | 118.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f32…9c3bbacked No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 33c | 109.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 18c | 104.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked No | 75c | 104$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 20c | 102.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…c4efbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…4cb8backed Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Yes | 19c | 99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +285.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed Yes | 63c | 92.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 80c | 90$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 19c | 84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…0cacbacked Yes | 79c | 83.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 18c | 83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…c836backed Yes | 74c | 80.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 38c | 78.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 31c | 76.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed No | 26c | 75.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will Gabon vs. Mozambique end in a draw?No won
- Will Gabon win on 2025-12-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.