TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$263,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No5c20,666$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.0876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c14,598$3,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400.993,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c7,809$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.754,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No4c4,913$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8820856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No7c4,109$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.622433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes18c3,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.9921140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa461…833fbacked Yes28c2,675$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.793740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes59c2,145$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.184143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes58c2,031$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.116253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked No30c1,990$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.991315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes51c1,521$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.923943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes18c1,502$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.8220322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No30c1,500$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.716833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No79c1,474$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.54751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…daeebacked Yes64c1,389$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No5c1,362$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.94446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes19c1,336$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.3230031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed No45c1,275$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5771442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5085…934cbacked No44c1,126$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No45c1,116$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes45c979$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.4421444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No21c878.79$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.113131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes62c764.22$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.684344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes28c731.61$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.768554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No26c723.76$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.239845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed No10c669$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.93826.3%10 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No39c628.21$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2455158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked No11c604.85$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.261936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed No23c590.71$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.721010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-83.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No26c584.68$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2816841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8820…0118backed Yes60c565.28$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Yes17c564.77$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.555930.5%18 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes63c550.87$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.631,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No80c526.97$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.589636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes72c526.49$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4225954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes67c490$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3222959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked Yes78c475.73$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.526550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes18c432.11$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3314537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Yes58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.032770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked No44c419.45$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.565257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes55c377.01$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4234630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed No22c371.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.051338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes67c356.63$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1129343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked No9c319.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62236.4%8 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3901…41b5backed No7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+119.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed No9c284.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No42c279.09$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3318438%70 W · 114 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No28c269$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.372,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No16c251.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes77c231$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.079145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes76c203.96$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9611552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes23c200$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15517727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa574…9075backed Yes79c195.97$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.282040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Yes60c184.44$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.33650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No80c180.5$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.46132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5b2…80d5backed Yes19c180$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+74.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes28c177.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.473033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb16…9757backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…da3ebacked Yes19c169.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+120.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Yes26c169.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Yes19c167$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.27966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+66.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed Yes60c166.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.945450%27 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No34c162.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.124845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes16c162$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0814040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked No21c160$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.72740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes19c148.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8839621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e80…1eb0backed Yes70c147.63$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.63633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-41.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.862955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes21c141.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.674517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes74c135.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5410748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedad…ed92backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35b7…c701backed Yes27c129.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.631723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes37c125$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Yes61c122.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.951741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes24c119.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.032835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed No40c118.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.445440.7%22 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f32…9c3bbacked No17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-76.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No33c109.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.957032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.265334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Yes19c105$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.051030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes18c104.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.757350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked No75c104$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785923.7%14 W · 45 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-42.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes20c102.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.322030%6 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb0…c4efbacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa224…4cb8backed Yes56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Yes19c99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+285.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x934f…f3b8backed Yes63c92.01$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No80c90$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes19c84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.04850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+82.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa2…0cacbacked Yes79c83.82$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Yes18c83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.06850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e85…c836backed Yes74c80.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.01450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed No38c78.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.997138%27 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No31c76.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2121444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed No26c75.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.631250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes18c75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.