TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Gabon vs. Mozambique end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,734 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No73c5,426$3,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.953,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c3,522$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.364,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd029…1909backed Yes28c2,718$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes17c2,684$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.0534630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes28c2,654$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.2421140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes27c1,837$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No71c1,665$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.854353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c1,640$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.4430031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No70c1,619$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.699636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No73c1,559$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.9323751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes9c1,350$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.529343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Yes24c1,057$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes35c1,040$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.992934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc849…204dbacked Yes30c1,013$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x856f…617dbacked Yes10c953$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes5c905.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.296237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes12c818.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa461…833fbacked Yes25c803.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes39c743.59$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes38c712.18$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.632161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes28c560.36$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.95230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c542$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6422656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No72c521$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8816833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Yes40c505.41$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.082161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d82…1b86backed Yes9c361.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81526.7%4 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick11cpaid+45.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes28c348.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7110630.2%32 W · 74 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009140.7%37 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes13c319.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.723738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No78c315.53$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6218438%70 W · 114 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No74c313.79$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.731,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2a…37f4backed No74c310.29$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.24825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No78c278.19$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.879845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed Yes15c214.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.742748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No75c200$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes16c193$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9918641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No75c190.61$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.874845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Yes29c183$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.07966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+66.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No71c183$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.075930.5%18 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No67c171.05$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4520322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed No75c169.7$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.141338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb16…9757backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Yes26c151.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409149.5%45 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No71c150.68$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.720245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes10c150.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4267354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes28c143.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407934.2%27 W · 52 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No71c137.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.886253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes16c129.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.221,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7b…a23cbacked No67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d55…cd90backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-80.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305530.9%17 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3397…9ec1backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-72.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa224…4cb8backed Yes26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb0…c4efbacked Yes23c99.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf3…8c56backed Yes30c98.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.492035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes32c94.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes27c84.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7276048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c8f…2268backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbc…e374backed Yes15c78.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No73c75.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.486051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No71c71.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6821444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x704f…b859backed No72c70.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd3…a0f4backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Yes28c67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7660%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes28c64.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189463.8%60 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes28c57.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.528337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No77c46.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.551656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes26c45.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73928.2%11 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Yes27c43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes27c41.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.994235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No72c40.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4213654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Yes39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No72c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.457350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Yes28c37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+103.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked No76c36.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.831127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-56.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed No72c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Yes41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.252638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66c4…e05abacked No76c23.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed No72c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1368…55febacked No63c20.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b3…3160backed No77c19.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked No73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No60c18.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5113131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.225255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No72c17.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8314537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.