TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Gabon win on 2025-12-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$428,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$385,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes54c109,194$59,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,493.681650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes33c59,388$19,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,519.2229343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No45c34,428$15,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,815.4574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c20,368$9,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,049.7676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c16,945$4,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,636.494,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c16,580$7,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,922.153,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes53c15,477$8,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,199.2330031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No46c15,172$7,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,160.3921140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No47c13,650$6,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,234.6715034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No50c10,999$5,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,507.6316331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.9922342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No46c8,215$3,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,447.6928754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No48c8,096$3,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,216.6714732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes50c7,563$3,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.346132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No46c6,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.969636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No47c4,307$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.0521444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes6c4,300$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3420856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed No48c3,654$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9004040%16 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x679f…feabbacked Yes4c3,651$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.41838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes53c3,453$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8302842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6205349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Yes23c2,618$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.033633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes53c2,605$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.8817048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No45c2,200$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21012934.1%44 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes54c2,189$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.881752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c2,176$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.26446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes2c2,052$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.464445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes35c2,052$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7222138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked Yes1c2,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.57634.2%26 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Yes3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes52c1,910$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.24126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes53c1,882$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.537740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes14c1,798$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8434630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No45c1,589$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.6923751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes53c1,455$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7713956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes52c1,260$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.172152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes53c1,202$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.852450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62429250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked Yes22c1,114$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.041315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No49c1,033$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5276643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes51c1,033$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes3c1,002$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.373412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52024732.4%80 W · 167 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes11c935.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes55c910$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.52334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes50c822$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.182665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed Yes11c799.86$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.831010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-83.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes45c770$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.95154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a99…5309backed Yes2c769.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.08911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-69.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes53c670.73$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.9912441.9%52 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…3e20backed Yes2c660$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes15c632.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.832030%6 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d6…6179backed No48c616.67$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3247045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Yes20c569.29$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No77c566.77$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.366253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed Yes8c536.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.651338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Yes3c533.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick20cpaid+62.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes16c513.93$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.117034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes42c478.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009334.4%32 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes11c475.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0423738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes23c444.42$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes24c400$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No47c377.11$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1913654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes56c359.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes7c356.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.379845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed No61c337.75$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.721250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes33c331.42$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes53c312.94$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.862254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes6c310.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0718438%70 W · 114 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15921444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked No47c299.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes40c296.4$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.562334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes14c282.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes23c280.64$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0613131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes5c278.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152030%6 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes27c278$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.919145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes55c263.64$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1456056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes16c262.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.043033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a4…fcf2backed Yes12c261.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.23250%16 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes40c258.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.354831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes40c253.72$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7211458.8%67 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.242352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No46c240$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.611646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes35c239.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9416841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Yes35c237.51$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.074845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No47c224.96$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.886051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No50c214.04$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.71,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes47c210.64$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9922551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3313544.4%60 W · 75 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes54c203.84$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.