Fifa International · resolved market
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e8fec814e8296168b621091a1f202dff36d57d34da8637805da34e91c61d1e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $428,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes | 54c | 109,194$59,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,493.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 33c | 59,388$19,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,519.22 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 45c | 34,428$15,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,815.45 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 20,368$9,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,049.76 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 16,945$4,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,636.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 16,580$7,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,922.15 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 15,477$8,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.23 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 46c | 15,172$7,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160.39 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 47c | 13,650$6,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,234.67 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 50c | 10,999$5,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,507.63 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.99 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 8,215$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.69 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 48c | 8,096$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.67 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 50c | 7,563$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.34 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 46c | 6,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.96 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 4,307$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.05 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 6c | 4,300$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.34 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed No | 48c | 3,654$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…feabbacked Yes | 4c | 3,651$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 53c | 3,453$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Yes | 23c | 2,618$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.03 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 53c | 2,605$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.88 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes | 54c | 2,189$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,176$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 2c | 2,052$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 35c | 2,052$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,910$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.2 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 53c | 1,882$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.53 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 14c | 1,798$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.84 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 45c | 1,589$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.69 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 53c | 1,455$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 52c | 1,260$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 53c | 1,202$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked Yes | 22c | 1,114$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.04 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 49c | 1,033$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes | 51c | 1,033$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,002$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 11c | 935.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 55c | 910$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 50c | 822$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.18 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed Yes | 11c | 799.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 45c | 770$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.9 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…5309backed Yes | 2c | 769.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 53c | 670.73$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…3e20backed Yes | 2c | 660$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 15c | 632.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…6179backed No | 48c | 616.67$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 20c | 569.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 77c | 566.77$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Yes | 8c | 536.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Yes | 3c | 533.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 16c | 513.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 42c | 478.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 11c | 475.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 23c | 444.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 24c | 400$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 47c | 377.11$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.19 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 56c | 359.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 7c | 356.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed No | 61c | 337.75$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 33c | 331.42$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 53c | 312.94$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 6c | 310.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 40c | 296.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 14c | 282.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 23c | 280.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 5c | 278.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 27c | 278$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 55c | 263.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 16c | 262.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…fcf2backed Yes | 12c | 261.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 40c | 258.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 40c | 253.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 35c | 239.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Yes | 35c | 237.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 47c | 224.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 214.04$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 47c | 210.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 54c | 203.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gabon win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will Gabon vs. Mozambique end in a draw?No won
- Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.